Prediction: few, if any, installation commanders will authorized concealed carry.
The two reasons installation commanders will be allowed to authorize concealed carry are if they determine it is necessary for personal- or force-protection measures.
How often will an installation commander admit their police or security forces are not able to provide adequate installation security? It's not going to happen, so the force-protection measure option is nearly meaningless for the average CCW permit holder.
The personal-protection option is a little broader, but will likely be constrained similar to how some states issue CCW permits based on state determination of "need". Someone who has a civil restraining order or a military no-contact order with another person who has continuing valid access requirements to a base might be able to convince the installation commander to approve CCW. The average CCW permit holder, though, will likely face steep resistance convincing an installation commander that they "need" to carry on base for personal protection.
Until DoD is told that it will allow concealed carry with possibly only a very narrow option of times when a commander could prohibit carry, it's just not going to happen. People should be allowed to carry on base for the same reasons they carry off base: because the *might* need a weapon for self defense, not because they can demonstrate there's obvious necessity.
Quote:
5 (a) PROCESS REQUIRED.—The Secretary of Defense,
6 taking into consideration the views of senior leadership of
7 military installations in the United States, shall establish
8 a process by which the commander of a military installa-
9 tion in the United States may authorize a member of the
10 Armed Forces who is assigned to duty at the installation
11 to carry a concealed personal firearm on the installation
12 if the commander determines it to be necessary as a
13 personal- or force-protection measure.
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http://amendments-rules.house.gov/am...1237413741.pdf