First, your assumption that perceived conference strength is a predictor of bowl game success is flawed. If that were the #1 predictor, then the Mountain West would not have won a single game. Second- The game will come down to defense, and Bud Foster trumps Monty Kiffin any day of the week. Granted, Kiffin was a great coordinator in the NFL, but he doesn't exactly have stellar athletes to work with right now at UT. Maybe in a few years you can be cocky about how good your team is...
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