Quote:
Originally Posted by JJ_BPK
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It’s much easier to create a rendering than the real thing.
Every single component piece displayed in that video exists today, it is just a question of putting all the pieces of the puzzle together in the package rendered.
1973 Yom Kippur War saw the use of AT-2 Sagger ATGMs
1982 Lebanon saw IDF drones integral in destruction of 19 Syrian SAM batteries
2003 Northern Iraq saw a single Javelin CLU operated by a US Army SF ODA destroy an entire Iraqi tank company.
2020 Armenia-Azerbaijan war saw armed drones play central role in warfighting.
All of the above present a relentless progression of price/performance of technology (Moore’s Law).
The only thing I push back on with the video is the very narrow diameter of the rockets, as they would unnecessarily increase development and manufacturing costs(more custom, less COTS form factor) and would limit armor penetration without using more expensive explosive black magic.
Late Cold War R&D like Assault Breaker were bleeding edge 30+ years ago with an eye watering price tag.
But Moore’s Law price/performance fixed that.
Personally, I think there is a future for tanks, but there’s a much bigger future for light mobility akin to a high tech South African Bush War 32 Battalion, but networked to drone swarms launched from arsenal trucks.
I’d much rather launch a drone swarm trained to hug the terrain and reach an attack point from all around the compass with a concurrent time over target than to telegraph an MLRS launch for counter battery fire or counter drone grid search.
One thing I speculate will become extremely important again is camouflage, particularly against computer vision and sensor detection.
One final thing to consider is that Moore’s Law price performance is rapidly shrinking to the point to where it becomes affordable to target individual soldiers with precision weapons.
Keep an eye out for a company called Anduril Industries.
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