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Old 01-27-2004, 15:46   #1
Sacamuelas
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Narco-terrorism in Afgh/LATAM

H. Thomas Hayden: "The Forgotten War on Terrorism: Narco-Terrorism"
January 23, 2004


The initial operational and tactical victories in Afghanistan are now in the process of being lost at the strategic level, as the land disintegrates into narco-terrorism and anarchy.

General Barry McCaffrey, US Army (Ret), has an outstanding article in the January 2004, issue of Armed Forces Journal, where he reports that US efforts will fail unless the link between the drug lords and resurgent Al Qaeda and Taliban forces, are overcome.

McCaffrey reports that opium farmers and traffickers in Afghanistan generated $2.3 billion in profits during 2003. He stated that the harvest of opium in 2002 was 20 times larger than during the last year of Taliban rule. The level of opium planting and the subsequent production of opium paste, morphine, and heroin, in Afghanistan, more than satisfies the demand in Western European and US markets.

President George Bush recently won a hard fought victory when Congress appropriated $1.2 billion for economic reconstruction in Afghanistan. However, there is no coordinated, large scale counter-narcotics law enforcement efforts in Afghanistan, and no alternatives for the farmers to make a living.

The same pattern can be seen in Afghanistan as in Columbia. The communist rebels in Latin America protect the poppy growers for a piece of the action. In Afghanistan the warlords protect the poppy growers for their piece of the action.

There can be neither security nor stable government where there is a growing narco-economy.

Dr. Rachel Ehrenfeld, author of the book Financing Evil: How Terrorism is Financed, reported that the globalization of narco-terrorism, and particularly the Islamic narco-terror network, has been common knowledge to international law enforcement and Intelligences services for some time now. Not only is it a tool to raise funds, but Jihad by drugs also appears to be one of the terrorist’ favored methods because it helps undermine targeted countries politically, economically and socially, by creating public health and criminal crises.

Another center for drug trafficking for Al-Qaeda is the South American Tri-border region - Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay - a “no-man’s land,” and the heart of Islamist narco-terrorist activity in Latin America. With its unguarded borders, numerous waterways, and more than 100 hidden airstrips, and with only infrequent passport checks, the region has become a haven for arms dealers, drug traffickers, smugglers, counterfeiters, and narco-terrorists.

Dr. Ehrenfeld also stated that Brazilian law enforcement reported Al-Qaeda’s activities in the Tri-Border region include: cocaine and heroin trafficking, arms and uranium smuggling, counterfeiting CDs and DVDs, and money laundering operations, frequently in cooperation with Chinese Triads (criminal groups) and the Russian Mafia. Moreover, Al-Qaeda’s relationship with Colombian, Peruvian, and Bolivian drug-traffickers often includes arms-for-drugs deals with Latin American terrorist organizations, such as the FARC (Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia), the ELN (National Liberation Army), and others.

It is speculated that Al-Qaeda’s involvement in Latin America’s illegal drug trade was preceded by Afghan and Pakistani heroin traffickers, who had worked with the Colombian Cali cartel. The Colombians’ methods of poppy cultivation resembled those in Afghanistan. According to Colombia’s former police chief, General Rosso Jose Cerrano, Pakistani and Afghan heroin traffickers easily entered Colombia with false identification papers.

According to UPI, Madam Michele Alliot-Marie, French Defense Minister, stated that Osama bin Laden’s Al-Qaeda network was funded primarily by drugs and was benefiting from Afghanistan’s record opium crop which supplies Europe’s heroin supply. Speaking at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, D. C., she said the situation requires a “more muscular approach to eradication and to the surveillance of banking networks.”

A famous fiction writer, in his latest book, used the connection of the Columbian drug lords to provide Al-Qaeda-like terrorist teams a means to be smuggled into the US in exchange for arms and money so that they could attack American targets. The Columbian drug lords certainly know how to smuggle items into the US.

Not an implausible scenario.

In my humble opinion, there is one simple way for the U.S. to solve part of the problem - buy the poppy.

With all the money the U.S. is spending on Afghanistan, surely there is enough money to buy the entire poppy crop, and then burn it in front of everyone. There had better be plenty of security because this would totally disrupt the drug lords and their supply chain.

Next, have a plan for the out-years.

One plan would be to begin to build an economy that would switch poppy growers to an alternative crop. This would require markets, roads to get the product to market, banks or financial institutions to loan farmer money to grow new crops, etc.

The problems with narco-terrorism in Afghanistan and Latin America will continue to fester without leadership and adequate resources to combat them. To have any chance of success, the U.S. must support aggressive law enforcement and drug eradication, both at home and in Afghanistan, AND an alternate crop for the poppy growers to make a decent living. The Administration needs to move faster to develop a viable long-term strategy of political, economic and social reconstruction in Afghanistan.



Opinions ? Should we buy Poppy?

Last edited by Sacamuelas; 01-27-2004 at 15:48.
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Old 01-27-2004, 15:49   #2
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Estimate the cost for this year's, then add 50% cost increase with 100% more production to do it again next year. Then do the same for every year from now until you're ready to legalize street heroin.
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Old 01-27-2004, 16:01   #3
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If the profits are be funneled back to al-Qaeda as the articles suggests, then you end up funding your own enemy. Supply dramatically drops, demand remains relatively stable, driving up prices and next thing you know your paying the premum, increasing profits for your own enemy.

I think several billion to purchase the local herion could be used far more resourcefully.
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Old 02-01-2004, 21:36   #4
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Legalization

The only way to ever get ahead on combatting drugs is to legalize it all and let Phillip Morris, Glaxo Smith Kline and others take over the distribution business.

There is enough profit, 900%, in the chain now to pay the producer double what he makes now, a profit for the legal distribution chain and still sell it to those foolish enough to use at a cost that does not require major criminal activity to support their habits.

Legalization would eventually dry up the money that now funds criminal and terrorist organizations that are now involved in the trade and minimize the corruption.

There is a good book on the subject, "Drugs, Crime and Corruption" by Richard Clutterbuck that is worth reading for those interested. It was still available on Amazon last time I looked.

Caz
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Old 02-01-2004, 21:50   #5
Psywar1-0
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My Questions

How many times a year do they harvest poppy?
How many times a yar do they harvest Coke?

Legalization is not the answer. Spend the money on Infrastructure first, then Alt Development. Or just nuke their ass and take the gas........
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Old 02-03-2004, 12:25   #6
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Thailand brought 26 tonnes of Heroin in the 70s and burned it in a demonstration. The producer told them, "yeah, thats the lot" and for some reason they beleived him.

Then he rolled out tonne 27 and 28 for distribution.




(There is/was some speculation that it wasnt really Heroin that was burned; it was normal white powder. The Thai president commenting on how many tanks he could buy with all that didn't help things either).

Cool subject.
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