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Old 06-10-2006, 11:09   #1
MtnGoat
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Southern Afghanistan in ‘State of War’: Security Think-Tank

Southern Afghanistan in ‘State of War’: Security Think-Tank
By AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE, LONDON

A state of war is gripping southern Afghanistan as Taliban fighters win public support and it will spread unless newly deployed British troops regain control, a security think-tank warned June 6.

Entire districts in the restive province of Helmand have already been lost to insurgents who have learnt new bomb-making skills from the bloody campaign in Iraq, said Emmanuel Reinert, executive director of the Senlis Council.

In a new report on southern Afghanistan, the council said: “Helmand is in a state of war, once again. The nature of instability in Helmand has shifted from random insurgency to a state of prolonged and organized violence that threatens the very foundations of the new Afghanistan.”

Hardline military tactics used by U.S. troops, who were in charge of security in the south following the October 2001 invasion of Afghanistan, have left the local population fearful and wary of foreign soldiers, it said.

The report by the think-tank, which has offices in London, Paris, Brussels and Kabul, found that 80 percent of the people in Helmand support insurgent groups.

”The British troops will need to regain control ... otherwise the whole of southern Afghanistan will be lost to the Taliban insurgents,” Reinert told a London news conference to launch the report, “Helmand at war — the changing nature of insurgency in southern Afghanistan and its effect on the future of the country”.

”For this they will need to take a dramatically new approach this summer, one which is close to the people and which listens and responds to their needs and takes into account the real and desperate poverty of the provinces.”

Poverty in Afghanistan had worsened over the past four years and people were growing increasingly tired of the international community making promises and then breaking them, the Senlis Council’s executive director said.

A crackdown on illegal opium harvesting had robbed many farmers of their livelihood and substitution crop programs championed by the new Afghan government had failed to meet their economic needs, fuelling resentment.
In addition there was a perception among the public of corruption within their local administration.

”So much was promised when the Taliban fell and so little has been delivered,” Reinert said.

”The Taliban — seen as oppressors four years ago — are now seen as protectors and sometimes freedom fighters, while the foreign troops, which were seen as liberators from those very oppressors four years ago, are more and more seen as invaders if not crusaders,” he said.

The report, Reinert said, concluded that: “Helmand is an early warning of what the whole of Afghanistan could become if a different approach is not taken in the next months.”
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Old 06-10-2006, 11:36   #2
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I would like to know if this report reflects reality or is it just a case of a tink tank pushing a not so subtle agenda?
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Old 06-10-2006, 11:39   #3
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Damn sobering read, if true!

No easy answers!
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Old 06-10-2006, 23:54   #4
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It's true. No one wants to say it openly, but this small article is absolutely right on.

I've been in that very region and fought those very people. Sadly, we could definitely defeat the resurging Taliban with what we have in place now. But our hands are being tied from above and I don't understand it. A very high ranking SF officer in the region came over to our memorial wall one day and drew an imaginary line across the names of the casualties we (Special Forces) had taken when we first inserted teams into country. "From here up, we were doing truly decentralized, unconventional, special operations. We had the rotary wing support we needed and were able to get mission approval within minutes via a radio call." There were about six total casualties from that imaginary line and up; a significant number of them were from a friendly fire incident. "From here down 'Big Army' got involved and we were prioritized lower on the list and our mission approval process became layered and strung by bureacracy within our own military" He motioned down to the casualties below that timeline; it numbered well above 25 men. "Interesting how the Taliban was actually in power back then and actually controlled many of these key cities. Oddly enough, only a handful of SF men literally set the conditions for our initial victory." The truth is that we are loosing the bubble over in Afghanistan because we are not being smart there. We are the best military in the world with a World-Class special operations capability. Yet, we are failing to do in Afghanistan what we did in El Salvador. We are our own worst enemies. Yes, I'm frustrated (in case you have not guessed).

My proposed solution: 1) Put teams on the ground and let them develop the situation; 2) Support the requirements of the teams; 3) Let intel drive ops and ops drive the need for logistics; 4) Let the Battalion Commanders and Company Commanders plan and execute the overall strategy for the JSOA; 4) Put a general with a pair of brass ones - like the ones the SECDEF carries around - in place to protect SOF from external stupidity while we get in there and kill a bunch of bad guys. Oddly enough, this sounds like a review for a test in the Q-Course. Go figure.
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Old 06-11-2006, 09:45   #5
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Basenshukai:

Thanks for the "eyes on" report. Sorry to hear it though.

Stay safe!
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