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Old 02-16-2011, 14:52   #286
GratefulCitizen
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Domestic gasoline stocks are at the highest they've been in over 20 years.
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/Lea...s=WGTSTUS1&f=W

There's certainly no shortage of stored crude oil, either.
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/Lea...s=WCRSTUS1&f=W

So what's driving the price increases?
(Quantitative easing, perhaps...)

How high can it go?
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Old 02-16-2011, 17:45   #287
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Let's see now.... LINK

Here, we have an oil analyst who expects an oil shortfall.

The Pentagon's JOE-2010 report does likewise.

Shell says much the same thing. LINK

However, I encourage those who choose to dismiss peak oil and its highly destructive consequences to do so. It will make the coming "told ya so" infinitely sweeter.
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Old 02-16-2011, 17:51   #288
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Let's see now.... LINK

Here, we have an oil analyst who expects an oil shortfall.

The Pentagon's JOE-2010 report does likewise.

Shell says much the same thing. LINK

However, I encourage those who choose to dismiss peak oil and its highly destructive consequences to do so. It will make the coming "told ya so" infinitely sweeter.
Why stop at $300 per bbl?
I say $100 billion per bbl! <maniacal laugh>

We already shrugged off $100 trillion! <more maniacal laughing>
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Old 02-16-2011, 18:11   #289
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Why stop at $300 per bbl?
I say $100 billion per bbl! <maniacal laugh>

We already shrugged off $100 trillion! <more maniacal laughing>
No, great depression II will reduce demand. But I like your thinking!
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Old 05-28-2011, 19:14   #290
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Oil prices are too high for the Saudi's liking.
Now we see the real reason for Saudi Arabia's spare capacity.

From the article:
Quote:
Prince Alwaleed bin Talal said an oil price of $70 to $80 a barrel is in the best interests of Saudi Arabia because it diminishes the urgency in the U.S. and Europe to develop alternative energy sources.

“We don’t want the West to go and find alternatives,” Alwaleed, a nephew of Saudi King Abdullah, said in an interview on CNN’s “Fareed Zakaria GPS,” scheduled for broadcast tomorrow. “The higher the price of oil goes, the more they have incentives to go and find alternatives.”
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...s-to-west.html


Meanwhile, the oil-boom spreads here in the USA.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/28/bu...t/28shale.html
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Old 05-28-2011, 19:30   #291
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Oil prices are too high for the Saudi's liking.
Now we see the real reason for Saudi Arabia's spare capacity.

From the article:


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...s-to-west.html


Meanwhile, the oil-boom spreads here in the USA.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/28/bu...t/28shale.html
Don't worry, the Watermelons will stop it:

Quote:
After the harm done by the spotted owl and delta smelt, the listing of a tiny reptile as endangered may be the latest salvo in the war on domestic energy.

As Yogi Berra would say, it's deja vu all over again. If the dunes sagebrush lizard is listed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service as an endangered species, another key part of the American economy will fall prey to the eco-extremist mantra that every little critter's well-being trumps that of the American people and economy.

Last December, the Fish and Wildlife Service announced that the lizard, a three-inch-long reptile native to the American Southwest, "faces immediate and significant threats due to oil and gas activities and herbicide treatments" and initiated the process to get it listed under the Endangered Species Act.

More...
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Old 06-10-2011, 18:58   #292
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Will the Saudis follow through?

http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/money/5...rcent.html.csp

Gotta keep everyone on the drug.
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Old 06-10-2011, 21:01   #293
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Don't worry, the Watermelons will stop it:



Pat
Yeah, cuz species never went extinct before evil man came on the scene! That's why all those damned dinosaurs are crapping all over my lawn, and the dodo birds are fouling my trees!
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Old 06-10-2011, 21:10   #294
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Yeah, cuz species never went extinct before evil man came on the scene! That's why all those damned dinosaurs are crapping all over my lawn, and the dodo birds are fouling my trees!
Lucky! All we have in my neck-of-the-woo...,uh, desert, are weird little foil wrapped aliens. Not to be confused with the SOTB aliens.

Pat
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Old 06-23-2011, 22:34   #295
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Obama & Oil Reserves

Obama is probably thinking, "Why me, why now?"

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43508263...il_and_energy/

The United States and other oil-consuming nations said Thursday they plan to release 60 million barrels of oil from government reserves over the next month in a bid to push down soaring energy prices.

The surprise announcement had an immediate impact on global markets, pushing down the price of one benchmark grade of crude by more than $8 a barrel to about $106. The move also weighed on Wall Street, helping to drive stock prices sharply lower.

More must-read stories EPA Scenes from the 2011 Paris Air Show
The show features 140 aircraft and host more than 300,000 people during its run from June 20-26.

Analysts said the move was aimed in large part at chasing oil speculators out of the market.

“This is the straw that breaks the camel’s back — this is the tipping point,” said Fadel Gheit, oil analyst for Oppenheimer, a leading investment bank. “The speculators will have to change their positions. Instead of betting on higher prices they have to bet on lower prices."

But with oil prices already well below their May peaks, the timing of the move brought criticism from business groups and Republican lawmakers, who accused President Barack Obama of playing politics with the country's oil reserves, which are intended to address emergencies.

"The president is using a national security instrument to address his domestic political problems," House Speaker John Boehner said in a statement. "This action threatens our ability to respond to a genuine national security crisis and means we must ultimately find the resources to replenish the reserve - at significant cost to taxpayers."

Even some Democrats were puzzled by the move.

"This decision would have been more timely if made when the disruption in Libyan oil supplies first occurred" early this year, said Sen. Jeff Bingaman, D-N.M., chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee. Still, Bingaman said he hopes the move helps deflate "speculative froth in the markets" and drives prices back to levels where most experts believe they should be.

The United States will provide half the release — 30 million barrels of oil — from its huge 727 million barrel Strategic Petroleum Reserve, an amount that is worth about 1.5 days of U.S. consumption, with Europe supplying 30 percent. The rest will come from Pacific OECD nations.

The consumer nations acted after OPEC failed to raise production at a meeting on June 8 and despite assurances from OPEC's biggest producer Saudi Arabia that it would lift supplies unilaterally.

Story: Surprise oil release targets speculators
"Greater tightness in the oil market threatens to undermine the fragile global economic recovery," the IEA said.

U.S. Energy Secretary Steven Chu cited political disruptions in the Middle East for the move.

How much oil?

Barrels per day
Millions

World oil production
84.4

World oil consumption
84.2

June 23 government reserves release
60


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SOURCE: U.S. Energy Information Administration

"We are taking this action in response to the ongoing loss of crude oil due to supply disruptions in Libya and other countries and their impact on the global economic recovery," Chu said. "As we move forward, we will continue to monitor the situation and stand ready to take additional steps if necessary."

News of the oil release sent gasoline tumbling 14 cents a gallon in the futures markets. That’s the equivalent of about $56 million a day in savings at the gas pump — or about $20 billion a year, according to Peter Beutel, an oil analyst at Cameron Hanover.

“It’s a shot in the arm for the economy,” he said. “It acts like a massive tax rebate to the American consumer.”

Overall the U.S. and IEA plan to release 2 million barrels per day onto the world market over the next 30 days, more than making up for the 1.2 million barrels daily that Libya was exporting before the current unrest.

Demand for oil is typically highest in July and August, peak of the summer driving season, according to the Energy Department.

The amount of oil released Thursday represents just a drop in the bucket of daily crude oil demand and will have little impact on the balance of supply and demand.

“I don't see what the release of 60 million barrels of oil adds to the market," said Christophe Barret, an oil analyst at Credit Agricole. “We don't need it in terms of levels of stocks; we are 35 million barrels above the five year average already. It's the equivalent of two months (of) Libyan production, so I'm not sure it will make much difference (in terms of supply.)”

-----------BT------------

Drill baby drill!!
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Old 06-24-2011, 04:59   #296
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“It’s a shot in the arm for the economy,” he said. “It acts like a massive tax rebate to the American consumer.”
And therein lies a kernal of truth.

Quantitative Easing 2 (QE2) ends as June wraps up. Right now the Congress says they want austerity instead of stimulus, and the Fed (Federal Reserve) senses an unwillingness to start QE3. But the economy is going downhill by a variety of measures - and elections are coming.

How, then, to have stimulus without increased debt and without QE3? They've hit upon an answer - one which I believe will fail. Later on, say about November of this year, worsening numbers may well cause the Congress and Administration to embrace new rounds of stimulus along with QE3.

The sad reality is that we are wasting the reserves and will derive no benefit. That's not leadership, IMO, but rather opportunism of the lowest sort.
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Old 06-24-2011, 16:53   #297
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The SPR release is idiotic.
The market will tend to itself, if left alone.

Oil companies have made significant domestic investment, created a great deal of new jobs, and now they're getting the rug pulled.
This may actually destroy jobs.

The "mining" line on the linked chart largely reflects increased employment in the oil and gas industries.
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-JJA7TwMIJ5...er+Indices.jpg

When the prices drop by fiat, production will scale back, and oil companies will be hesitant making future investments.
Ultimately this will result in higher oil prices and probably increased unemployment.
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Old 06-24-2011, 17:25   #298
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Later on, say about November of this year, worsening numbers may well cause the Congress and Administration to embrace new rounds of stimulus along with QE3.
I really hope you're wrong, but I fear the opposite.

More stimulus monies from our tax revenues will only hurt us in the long run. More stimulus will only prove that this Admin is not up to the challenge. Do we go down that road, see a bump in munbers and see also Obama get re-elected?

I fear also, America is still not in enough pain to really get pissed.
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Old 06-24-2011, 17:49   #299
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I really hope you're wrong, but I fear the opposite.
I would prefer to be wrong. It would be better for the country.

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More stimulus monies from our tax revenues will only hurt us in the long run. More stimulus will only prove that this Admin is not up to the challenge. Do we go down that road, see a bump in munbers and see also Obama get re-elected?

Maybe not so long term. The last round made the stock market and commodities go higher - but did little for those who need a paycheck. That's the problem - we've been doing this for a long time and we've created quite a burden of debt.

In all candor, I expect Obama to get re-elected. I don't want it - not at all. But right now I expect it.


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I fear also, America is still not in enough pain to really get pissed.
That will, IMO, come. Maybe not for a few years, but there are some trends that suggest we'll get there (MOO, YMMV). But my monsters-under-the-bed fear is that when that pain comes...when Americans become well and truly pissed...that we will have that crisis which Rahm Emanuel spoke of. The crisis one should not let go to waste. Clever orators have led other nations down dark paths. I hope (and, frankly, pray) we avoid that problem.
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Old 06-24-2011, 18:04   #300
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Maybe not so long term. The last round made the stock market and commodities go higher - but did little for those who need a paycheck. That's the problem - we've been doing this for a long time and we've created quite a burden of debt.
So it didn't work....., but I understand your point.

I'm preparing for another 6 years of "Barry".
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