04-08-2012, 21:01
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#1
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Guerrilla
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Western Pennsylvania
Posts: 155
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Romney's path to 270
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art..._113755-2.html
Judging by the polls thus far, it appears as though Romney (at this stage I'm all but certain he'll be the GOP nominee) will face a considerably uphill battle to winning 270 electoral votes in November. Obama has consistently possessed a lead over him in crucial states like Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and even Florida (albeit barely). Granted, it is definitely too early to pay all that much attention to the polls as a lot can and probably will happen between now and Election Day. Nevertheless, for now Obama possesses an easier path towards an electoral victory. I have a gut feeling that, just like in 2000, the Sunshine State will decide the outcome...
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"Far better is it to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though checkered by failure, than to rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy much nor suffer much, because they live in that grey twilight that knows neither victory nor defeat." -Theodore Roosevelt
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cjwils3 is offline
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04-09-2012, 06:03
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#2
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Quiet Professional (RIP)
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Carriere,Ms.
Posts: 6,922
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cjwils3
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art..._113755-2.html
Judging by the polls thus far, it appears as though Romney (at this stage I'm all but certain he'll be the GOP nominee) will face a considerably uphill battle to winning 270 electoral votes in November. Obama has consistently possessed a lead over him in crucial states like Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and even Florida (albeit barely). Granted, it is definitely too early to pay all that much attention to the polls as a lot can and probably will happen between now and Election Day. Nevertheless, for now Obama possesses an easier path towards an electoral victory. I have a gut feeling that, just like in 2000, the Sunshine State will decide the outcome...
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We aren't going to make it with Romney......  I don't know right now who can beat "O",but Romney can't.......... If he doesn't get those votes which I really believe he won't,expect another 4 more years of "O"...........
Big Teddy 
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I believe that SF is a 'calling' - not too different from the calling missionaries I know received. I knew instantly that it was for me, and that I would do all I could to achieve it. Most others I know in SF experienced something similar. If, as you say, you HAVE searched and read, and you do not KNOW if this is the path for you --- it is not....
Zonie Diver
SF is a calling and it requires commitment and dedication that the uninitiated will never understand......
Jack Moroney
SFA M-2527, Chapter XXXVII
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greenberetTFS is offline
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04-09-2012, 06:30
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#3
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Area Commander
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Buckingham, Pa.
Posts: 1,746
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It's still really early. Most Americans don't tune into Presidential elections until after Labor Day. In 2008 polls at this point had Bush losing to Kerry and in 1992 Bush Sr. had a comfortable edge over Clinton. I don't think Romney is a particularly strong candidate but it's far too early to predict how he'll fare in a general election.
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rubberneck is offline
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04-09-2012, 17:41
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#4
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Area Commander
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Page/Lake Powell, Arizona
Posts: 3,402
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Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida.
Those will be the critical ones.
This guy's been pretty accurate in the past:
http://www.electionprojection.com/20...resident12.php
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Waiting for the perfect moment is a fruitless endeavor.
Make a decision, and then make it the right one through your actions.
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GratefulCitizen is offline
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04-09-2012, 18:15
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#5
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RIP Quiet Professional
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: The Ozarks
Posts: 10,072
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greenberetTFS
We aren't going to make it with Romney...... I don't know right now who can beat "O",but Romney can't.......... If he doesn't get those votes which I really believe he won't,expect another 4 more years of "O"...........
Big Teddy |
Big Teddy, if Romney doesn't win by 10 electoral votes (nationally) or more, I'll send you a bottle of Jameson's.
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"There you go, again." Ronald Reagan
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Dusty is offline
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04-09-2012, 18:21
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#6
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RIP Quiet Professional
Join Date: Jun 2009
Location: The Ozarks
Posts: 10,072
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rubberneck
It's still really early. Most Americans don't tune into Presidential elections until after Labor Day. In 2008 polls at this point had Bush losing to Kerry and in 1992 Bush Sr. had a comfortable edge over Clinton. I don't think Romney is a particularly strong candidate but it's far too early to predict how he'll fare in a general election.
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I'm pretty sure this will be an ABO election, bro.
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"There you go, again." Ronald Reagan
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Dusty is offline
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04-09-2012, 22:22
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#7
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Guerrilla
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Western Pennsylvania
Posts: 155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by greenberetTFS
We aren't going to make it with Romney...... I don't know right now who can beat "O",but Romney can't.......... If he doesn't get those votes which I really believe he won't,expect another 4 more years of "O"...........
Big Teddy |
From what I have observed so far, Romney unfortunately seems to share some similarities to certain other politicians from the Bay State. Just as he has been in the primary, he'll once again be attacked as a "flip-flopper" (like Kerry) and may have trouble with his image and suffer from a lack of charisma and authenticity (like Dukakis AND Kerry). As this election will almost certainly be decided by swing voters, that's a potentially significant roadblock. And Dusty is absolutely right, a large amount of people are going to vote against #44 instead of for Romney. Count me in that group...
__________________
"Far better is it to dare mighty things, to win glorious triumphs, even though checkered by failure, than to rank with those poor spirits who neither enjoy much nor suffer much, because they live in that grey twilight that knows neither victory nor defeat." -Theodore Roosevelt
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cjwils3 is offline
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04-10-2012, 10:52
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#8
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Quiet Professional (RIP)
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Carriere,Ms.
Posts: 6,922
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dusty
Big Teddy, if Romney doesn't win by 10 electoral votes (nationally) or more, I'll send you a bottle of Jameson's.
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Dusty
Make sure it's the Jameson's 12 year old Reserve....... 
Big Teddy
__________________
I believe that SF is a 'calling' - not too different from the calling missionaries I know received. I knew instantly that it was for me, and that I would do all I could to achieve it. Most others I know in SF experienced something similar. If, as you say, you HAVE searched and read, and you do not KNOW if this is the path for you --- it is not....
Zonie Diver
SF is a calling and it requires commitment and dedication that the uninitiated will never understand......
Jack Moroney
SFA M-2527, Chapter XXXVII
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greenberetTFS is offline
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