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Amazing as it may sound, the analysts don't have any way of predicting the resolve of the U.S. Fighting Man. It is variable "X" and you can't apply a number to it or bottle it.
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An important and often excluded point.
Military historian SLA Marshall spoke of this in his writings and posited the idea that the least predictable but most important variable on the battlefield was the individual resolve and initiative of the American soldier - a tendency to just do
something and - like the eventual impact of a pinhole in the face of a dam - its eventual impact on battles.
The former Soviet Union also wrote of this tendency of the American fighting man in their doctrine - the ability of our soldiers, no matter what their ranks or the situation, to act individually and without direct supervision or orders, and their potential to influence the battle - and it concerned them and their own operational concepts of war greatly. And I would wager it still does.
A toast to the American fighting man!*
Richard's $.02
*Refers to all branches of the service and both sexes.