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Having almost completely destroyed the Chechen nationalists, the Russian government has only strengthened the Islamists. Further, the Islamists also know that when they strike, the Russians will either retaliate directly against the nationalists, further strengthening the Islamists, or randomly against all Chechens, further radicalizing them. So they have a perverse incentive to commit even more horrific acts of terrorism.
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Actually a fairly common strategy. I don't think it will work in this case because the repression will be complete. This "provocation to repression" strategy works with a government like the US that is unwilling to go the full distance with martial law, etc.. A classic of a failure of this strategy is what happened to the Tupamaros in Uruguay. They provoked to the point of changing a democratic government for a military dictatorship and were wiped out by it.
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Somewhere a True Believer is training to kill you. He is training with minimal food or water, in austere conditions, training day and night. The only thing clean on him is his weapon and he made his web gear. He doesn't worry about what workout to do - his ruck weighs what it weighs, his runs end when the enemy stops chasing him. This True Believer is not concerned about 'how hard it is;' he knows either he wins or dies. He doesn't go home at 17:00, he is home.
He knows only The Cause.
Still want to quit?
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