Quote:
Originally Posted by Penn
The Chinese research paper would beg to differ.
Some of the US’s best and brightest working very hard to solve these problems would agree with me(although more of an ‘I agree with them’):
https://steveblank.com/2019/01/08/th...orizons-model/
In terms of tech acceleration disrupting legacy capability, in other words: persistent capability becomes perishable
Your prejudice in accepting the most simplistic bang for the buck has made you blind.
Without firing a shot, they have execute a brilliant plan to place China as the #1 economic power. Regardless of what industry is moved back, they now possess the tech, manufacturing, social power to compete and dominate.
The USA/EU/West have lost leaders, ships, and a roaring economy.
Please example for me China's losses. Or one leader with the virus, could they have a vaccine? |
I’ll turn the temp down a bit to reduce risk of animosity and not post anything in absolutes.
Because we are talking about theories rather than concrete physical law.
If your theory is correct, and it is just a theory, there’s a lot of moving parts to manage for successful execution. A lot. Orchestral sized even.
A counter theory could include the possibility of a mediocre western response, led by mediocre leadership, presiding over a mediocre economy.
I know it’s not binary. But what’s more likely? Complexity or mediocrity?
Make no mistake, I am all for a US led western coalition continuing to drive the planet earth bus.
And I firmly believe China is adversary #1.
But I’m not convinced there is a preponderance of evidence of Chinese premeditated action.(That’s not a challenge to you to have to convince me.)
It’s clear they are leveraging this sh!tshow as best they possibly can.
If it were premeditated, surely we would have seen signalling/indicators from the Executive Branch by now?
I am certainly in the blame China camp.
Another War on the Rocks articles presses an interesting angle on reparations:
https://warontherocks.com/2020/03/ch...the-trillions/
While it’s a great article, I don’t see it at practical.
In my opinion, China will never pay. And if they were somehow held accountable and compelled to, it would probably lead to war.
In short, I suspect we are not far apart on the destination of where we see this inevitably going.
My guess is we only differ on the “journey” to get there in terms of means/methods and
casus belli.