Why I think you shouldn’t count on a vaccine or pharmacological therapy...no time.
The projection below assumes no effective non-pharmacological measures (i.e. whatever they're doing in China, and ultimately here, won’t work), a Ro of 2.5 (which is low in light of current US and Chinese studies) and no significant drop in cases during warm weather (which seems possible from surface infectivity studies).
Note we're way ahead of this “worst case” projection now, probably because their Ro assumption is low/wrong. And note the staggering growth near the bottom of the chart...exponential growth is an absolute bitch.
Prepare to isolate. Don’t assume you'll get water when you turn on the tap. Or power. Or grocery deliveries. If the bottom of the chart comes true it’s going to get Old Testament biblical for a period of time. We may lose an entire crop. Remember the chain for getting seeds in the ground and harvested: functioning financial systems, power, fertilizer/insecticide/herbicide synthesis, transport, fuel delivery, spare parts, healthy farmers. And this is coming on the heels of one of the worst harvests since the Great Depression.
Supply chain disruption could cause more deaths than the virus.
Pray the chart is wrong.
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