Largest study to date from China CDC of first 4021 laboratory confirmed cases w/ #2019nCoV #COVID19 from 30 provinces. Preprint, undergoing peer review now.
R0 ~3.77 (95% CI 3.51-4.05)
Case fatality rates (CFR) ~3.06% with significant gender difference
- Male 4.45%
- Female 1.25%
Case fatality rates (CFR) difference between age groups are even more pronounced than gender:
<60 y 1.43%
≥ 60 y 5.30%
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1....10.20021675v1
I urge everyone to start identifying as a 22 yo female. Immediately.