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I’m not privy to anything not publicly sourced, but there seems to be a quiet consensus growing that this is so infectious that up to 60% of the world will have to be infected before this burns out. The disease has to achieve a Ro <1.0 before it even plateaus. We can achieve that with a vaccine, non-pharmacologic means (quarantine, hand washing, etc.) or a population that becomes immune by surviving the disease.
If we're truly starting with a Ro in the 5 range, getting below 1 is going to probably mean all three measures will come into play. Pray it has many mild cases. Pray that summer heat will give some respite, although surface viability rest have shown surprising heat tolerance.
It’s a f***ing weapon and it’s doing what is was designed to do.
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mugwump
“Klaatu barada nikto”
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