Quote:
Originally Posted by mugwump
This coming weekend (Feb 8/9) will be interesting. When this first started three epidemiological curves of infection rates were predicted from SARS/MERS experience showing optimistic, expected, and worst-case plots of the growth of total cases. Basically, they predicted scenarios when the total number of infections would peak and then flatten and decline. The virus has blown past the optimistic and expected peaks. The pessimistic number should be achieved Thurs/Fri. If we hear of flat numbers this weekend that would be sublime---the disease will taper off in China and contagion pressure will ease. If not, we're looking at pandemic, most likely. Even then, we probably need to wait til the end of of the month to understand what's going to happen here in NA.
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So the graph HAS flattened...
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6
if you hover over the little graph, an X will appear & click on that for full page. Click again to collapse it.