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There is good data going back to the 1970's that psychiatrists are no better than a lay person in prediciting if someone is going to be violent.
I. Cocozza J, Steadman H: The failure of psychiatric predictions of dangerousness: clear and convincing evidence.
Rutger's L Rev 29:1084-101, 1976
2. Ennis B: The Rights of Mental Patients.
New York; Avon Books, 1978
3. Peszke M: Is dangerousness an issue for physicians in emergency commitment?
Am J Psychiatry 132325-8, 1975
I don't think a federal judge has any special skills in this field. I wonder what is his motivation?
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"For exercise I recommend vigorous walking... and carrying a gun. The gun’s weight will increase the level of exercise and the possession of a gun on a walk produces real confidence."
Thomas Jefferson
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