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Old 10-15-2014, 21:26   #236
The Reaper
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mugwump View Post
Over the last five years flu mortality averaged about 36k in the US, with most epidemiologists thinking it's under reported by 100-200%. I'd wager a mortgage payment that 50k is closer to reality than 3k. I'll also bet you that more healthy young adults, 18-35 years old, without a single co-morbidity factor, die of flu in 2014 than die of Ebola in the same cohort. Influenza is the scariest disease on the planet. If the wrong one breaks out it could end civilization.

Ebola is also a scary disease and the public health agencies have bungled things badly. But unless the attack rate changes pretty drastically this just doesn't seem to be a major threat. We'll know more in the next few weeks. But if the symptomatic "second nurse" who flew to Kent state and back only spawns two new infections, or less, then this disease is going to burn out in the US. My opinion only.
That assumes that the government somehow keeps additional Ebola carriers from arriving here in the US, correct?

How do you think they will accomplish that?

TR
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