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Old 04-07-2014, 11:38   #6
Flagg
Area Commander
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: New Zealand
Posts: 1,423
Quote:
Originally Posted by MtnGoat View Post
Got word the TB action has been down. For me that is an indicator. Even a planned action with a reaction.
The rumour mill includes the following:


Ashraf Ghani polling just north of 40%


Abdullah Abdullah polling just south of 40%

Rassoul polling in the high single digits(he caught a lot of sh!t locally for arriving to his own political rally party really late, leaving early, and almost turning into a riot against him).

The remainder picking up the scraps.

But that's just what we're hearing in this local patch….results may(and likely will) vary prinvincial "country" to provincial "country".

I'm guessing a runoff between Ashraf Ghani and Abdullah Abdullah since neither is likely to gain a convincing majority with a margin for Afghan error(say a minimum of 55-60%).

I'm hoping no one actually polls just north of 50%.

Hopefully a runoff between the two poll leaders would better ensure a convincing majority that isn't disputed.

On a funny Afghan note, we heard reliable rumours of at least one ballot box being chucked in the river in a rough joint a few hour from here.

On a positive note, two locals told me their wives voted differently from them and it didn't involve beatings.

Thankfully my journey back to planet earth begins tomorrow weather permitting.
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