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I couldn't imagine Turkey's government or military would want to get sucked further into Syria's civil war black hole.
But I do know that while Turkey's economy has been booming the past decade or so, I believe they may be quite vulnerable to the next inevitable chapter of the global financial crisis.
Maybe a false flag operation with a strong internal security and limited external military response could be perceived by Turkey's centres of gravity as a means to shape a quite nationalistic population around the flag and the government of the day by creating an artificial external threat, while concurrently clamping down harder internally. A desperate act of political survival perhaps?
Turkey is in a tough spot:
*economically thru the next chapter of the GFC
*continuing with NATO, or slowly aligning with Russia to monopolise energy flow to Europe
*Syria's long-term implosion
*Kurds jockeying for their own state in Northern Iraq and Eastern Syria
*Iran going nuclear
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