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I see a parallel with Shining Path.
The Party, (Shining Path is actually a misnomer, the actual correct name of the organization is the Communist Party of Peru) was once geographically focused in the department of Ayacucho in the highlands of Peru.
The Peruvian Army mounted a "final offensive," and went into Ayacucho to flush out the guerrillas. What ended up happening is the guerrillas migrated up the Andean spine of the country and dispersed nationally.
The so-called "final offensive" ended up being a catalyst for a mestastasis.
The Allawi government is focusing on Sunni allies of the Sunni resistance, and this is good. But care should be taken to ensure that the terrain remains inhospitable for Sunni guerrillas in the Kurdish north and the Shia south, as well, and measures need to be maintained, neutralizing eruptions of Shia unrest.
I particularly believe that false flag operations should be mounted by ostensible Sunnis against Shias on the sidelines, with the goal being Shia enmity. Sunni resistance fighters should find no open doors, no open mosques, in the south. A couple of well-placed car bombs, followed by propaganda against "apostates" should do the trick.
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