[afchic]

Originally Posted by MTN Medic

http://norvig.com/election-faq-2012.html

The statisticians seem to disagree. No telling what the bias is, but numbers are better than simply hoping...

Sorry but anyone who quotes Nate Silver as much as this guy does is a little squirrly with his facts IMO.

Anyone who is anyone in political polling follows Michael Barone. He has Romney taking it with 315+.

Even most liberal pollsters are starting to admit the electorate loos more like 2004 than it does 2008, yet most polls are using a Democratic advantage that is above 2008 numbers.