I dislike CNN as mcuh as the next guy, but they do have a pretty good Electoral Map.
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/eca...#?battleground
If you start as it is right now Obama Safe/Lean 237, Romney Safe/Lean 191
This is how my toss up map looks:
NV- Obama
CO - Romney
IA - Romney
OH - Obama
NE - Romney
VA - Romney
NC - Romney
FL - Romney
Romney wins 277 to Obama's 261