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Old 11-05-2004, 18:14   #7
Roguish Lawyer
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Free Pineland (at last)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Airbornelawyer
What it does, I suppose, is show you where the fights are. Rather than thinking in terms of swing states, you look within those states for the purplest of counties/electoral districts.

You do take into account their demographics: don't waste time on a 50/50 county with only a few thousand votes like Madison County, Florida (Bush: 3,038, Gore: 3,014 to Bush: 4,196, Kerry: 4,048). Instead, go into places like Pinellas County, which accounts for about 6-7% of Florida's electorate. In 2000, Bush lost Pinellas County by 184,825 to 200,630 (and 10,000 for Nader). In 2004, Bush took Pinellas 225,627 to 225,367. They took a bluish purple county and made it pure purple. Now they have to work on making it redder. Pasco County, which was almost pure purple (Bush: 68,582, Gore: 69,564, Nader: 3,393), is now red: Bush: 103,198 to Kerry: 84,731. That's a 40,000 vote improvement in just two counties of a state won by less than 600 votes in 2000.
Actually, AL, in my experience, what you do is pick the places where you have the most red voters and do everything you can to turn them out.
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