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Old 02-14-2012, 12:32   #11
BOfH
Guerrilla Chief
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Location: NYC Area
Posts: 828
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brush Okie View Post
When I give my opinion the price goes up.

With that in mind do you think the Saudis are stirring trouble between the US and Iran under the table? IMHO the Saudis are not above playing both sides against each other but I am far from an expert. The scary part is with everyone playing their little games there and with oil being as important as it is one idiot in the mix or even one stupid decision and the place will light off like a sparkler on 4th of July.
I think my wallet just groaned

MOO: The Saudi's want their perceived threat from Iran neutralized, from oil profits to Sunni/Shia relations, Saudi Arabia is no friend of Teheran (well, except when it comes to destroying Israel, and us too I suppose). Geographically, they are too big for the Saudis(and Israel) to take on, hence the hot air and sabre rattling from both. I would not put it past them, but there is no real indication that they are, aside from their usual rhetoric of demanding that the US take action. In the short term, the embargo, if the EU follows through, will increase their profits; long term, cut rate Iranian crude is going to hurt their pocket(s). Time will tell...

ETA: This article is mostly on Syria and AQ in the region, however, IMHO it has a decent analysis of all the moving parts: http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/jihad...tunities-syria
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Last edited by BOfH; 02-14-2012 at 16:03. Reason: Add article
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