Quote:
Originally Posted by akv
Politics like most popularity contest is perception and reputation. Obama is beatable especially if the economy worsens, or we have another terrorist act on our soil, the UBL "second honeymoon" will expire well before 2012.
|
The economy is, in my opinion, the key to the election. If employment and growth improve and the average voter believes he/she has more money in their pocket, with still more to come, then the current office holder will (IMO) win.
However, unless the Fed. Res. and the Treasury do some serious stimulus, then it is likely that the economy will go into a second dip. Keep in mind that jobless claims are above 400,000 for the seventh week in a row. The present recovery is one of the weakest on record. This does not seem to favor an incumbent.
I suppose that Sarah Palin may not be a genius and seems to lack polish. I'm not sure that either attribute is that important. The current office-holder has made some notable gaffes, and his use of a teleprompter is suggestive as well.
Of the various candidates, Sarah Palin seems to be one of the better prospects for defeating the present office-holder. If she is flawed, so are her opponents, IMO. I will be glad to vote for her if I get the chance.