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It is way too early to declare victory and write off Obama as a quitter or as a loser. We are stuck with him for three more years. So much time for so much to happen. In about two years the campaign for the next presidential election will begin. If domestic policy is his only focus until then, even with a victory or two, I doubt he will be reelected.
As strange as some find this proposition, I believe that foreign policy offers his best hope for reelection. Not any success he may have in foreign policy, but in spectacular failure. The US attacking Iran, Israel attacking Iran, Iran exploding an atomic bomb either for show or for death or a serious terrorist success on our soil has the most potential. Not even in my darkest moments do I believe Obama may "wag the dog" just to get elected. But I fear his natural predilections will leave us progressively more vulnerable and such an event may very well get him reelected provided he handles the response in any affirmative way.
I hope I'm wrong in both my analysis and my fears, but we'll see...
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