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Old 10-16-2008, 09:30   #1
nmap
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: San Antonio, Texas
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Dow and economic contraction

Some news today...

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. industrial production fell a sharp 2.8 percent in September, the biggest decline since December 1974, according to a report on Thursday that was likely to reinforce fears of a recession.

Economists had expected a decline of 0.8 percent, after a revised 1 percent decline in August, initially reported as a 1.1 percent fall.

The Federal Reserve said in the report the September drop was exacerbated by Hurricanes Gustav and Ike, as well as a strike at aircraft maker Boeing. Business equipment production was off 7 percent, while consumer goods were down 1.4 percent.

For the third quarter as a whole, industrial production decreased at an annual rate of 6 percent.

Economists were already warning that the economy may have contracted in the third quarter after surprisingly weak September retail sales.

LINK

I've attached a montly basis chart of the Dow Industrials. It appears that a 26 year long bull trend has ended.

My opinion...it is not the time to buy. There remains substantial downside risk.
Attached Images
File Type: jpg monthly dow.jpg (49.7 KB, 26 views)
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