It will be close.
I think it is early to tell what issues will become focused on by the undecided voters in the run-up to the election. That is because Kerry's camp hasn't really given ANY details as to how he actually plans on leading the country if elected.
While this does keep the Bush camp from attacking Kerry's position, it hurts him more in the long run because he is being portrayed as a wiffle waffle/non decisive middleman LIB politician.
BTw- I think the current portrayal of Kerry is accurate.