Michigan.
Better running game and as much as it irks me to admit their quarterback is well seasoned and poised. Not knocking your QB RL but this is his first bowl, and it's Henne's third. Also Michigan has more to prove to the BCS yo yos that they, not crybaby Florida, should be in the championship game. 
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You ask; What is our policy? I will say; “It is to wage war, by sea, land and air, with all our might and with all the strength that God can give us: to wage war against a monstrous tyranny, never surpassed in the dark lamentable catalogue of human crime. That is our policy.” You ask; What is our aim? I can answer with one word: Victory—victory at all costs, victory in spite of all terror, victory however long and hard the road may be; for without victory there is no survival.-Winston Churchill
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