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Old 11-29-2006, 17:16   #9
tk27
BANNED USER
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: RI/MA
Posts: 230
Quote:
Originally Posted by JMI
Of course he wants us out of the ME and Iraq. Iran would fill the power vacuum. This guy is a PR machine, a dangerous one at that.
Disagree,

- He needs us as an enemy for domestic political purposes. We have already gotten rid of two of Iran's enemies to its east and west. For him and the Mullahs to stay in power they need someone to blame. He is facing a huge demographic boom of dissatisfied young people, better to keep them pissed off at foreign powers than domestic ones.

- He needs us for regional purposes. We piss off Arab Sunni's with our presence in the region. For Iran to consolidate regional power, they need an enemy and not just the Jews.

- He needs us for fiscal purposes. Petroleum exports are pretty much Iran's economy. Iran needs to get every barrel possible to market, and we need every barrel to get to market with global surplus production capacity around 1 to 1.5% right now. The U.S. is the guardian of the world economies SLOC, Iran who operates OPECs largest tanker fleet-needs to securely get its exports to the Asian market.

I agree he is a threat, but question the size.

Thoughts?
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