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mugwump · 10-20-2006, 07:25

I haven't posted an update here for a while, so I guess it's time.

Avian flu (in birds) has returned to Africa and SW Asia with the migrating waterfowl. There's been one confirmed human case in Egypt and several suspected ones in northern Nigeria (dead and buried). There are strong suspicions of avian infections in Iran (confirmed infections in neighboring states).

Expect a resurgence of human cases in Africa and SW Asia. Remember that the closest we've come to a breakout was Turkey in Dec '05 -- Jan '06. (It was a bigger cluster than Karo, Indonesia. The WHO still had some credibility then -- people believed them when they said there was no H2H. We now know from the DNA sequences that they were wrong or lying.)

Indonesia is moving from a high simmer to a slow boil. The government is reeling under increasing criticism for the way they've mishandled the whole affair and they're getting increasingly defensive. There have been numerous, widely distributed deaths over the last weeks with the tempo of infections apparently increasing (three deaths in three days last week, different locales).

Journal articles have confirmed H5N1 infections in Indonesian pigs, dogs and cats. The DNA sequences from cat and human infections are nearly identical with big differences from bird viruses. They are working on the dog sequences now and I wouldn't be surprised if they matched as well. I've passed on the concerns of others that the direct poultry-human link was weak, and this seems to indicate another vector is possible, even likely.

Nearly every MSM article you read will say "every/nearly every case of human bird flu is linked to close contact with dead or dying birds." This mantra has replaced the now defunct "there have been no cases of human-to-human transmission." They are both bullshit. Clearly, birds are sick and dieing but many, many smart people think direct bird to human transmission is of minor importance now.

NAMRU-2, the US Navy research facility in Jakarta, is apparently back up after publicly announcing they'd left the country a while back. Who knows the politics behind all that.

The latest worry: Bird Flu Suspected in Nine More Indonesians on Sulawesi Island

10-20-2006, 07:25	#355
mugwump Area Commander Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 1,403	Fish or Cut Bait I haven't posted an update here for a while, so I guess it's time. Avian flu (in birds) has returned to Africa and SW Asia with the migrating waterfowl. There's been one confirmed human case in Egypt and several suspected ones in northern Nigeria (dead and buried). There are strong suspicions of avian infections in Iran (confirmed infections in neighboring states). Expect a resurgence of human cases in Africa and SW Asia. Remember that the closest we've come to a breakout was Turkey in Dec '05 -- Jan '06. (It was a bigger cluster than Karo, Indonesia. The WHO still had some credibility then -- people believed them when they said there was no H2H. We now know from the DNA sequences that they were wrong or lying.) Indonesia is moving from a high simmer to a slow boil. The government is reeling under increasing criticism for the way they've mishandled the whole affair and they're getting increasingly defensive. There have been numerous, widely distributed deaths over the last weeks with the tempo of infections apparently increasing (three deaths in three days last week, different locales). Journal articles have confirmed H5N1 infections in Indonesian pigs, dogs and cats. The DNA sequences from cat and human infections are nearly identical with big differences from bird viruses. They are working on the dog sequences now and I wouldn't be surprised if they matched as well. I've passed on the concerns of others that the direct poultry-human link was weak, and this seems to indicate another vector is possible, even likely. Nearly every MSM article you read will say "every/nearly every case of human bird flu is linked to close contact with dead or dying birds." This mantra has replaced the now defunct "there have been no cases of human-to-human transmission." They are both bullshit. Clearly, birds are sick and dieing but many, many smart people think direct bird to human transmission is of minor importance now. NAMRU-2, the US Navy research facility in Jakarta, is apparently back up after publicly announcing they'd left the country a while back. Who knows the politics behind all that. The latest worry: Bird Flu Suspected in Nine More Indonesians on Sulawesi Island __________________ mugwump “Klaatu barada nikto”
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