Thread: Be Prepared
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Old 07-13-2006, 08:23   #181
The Reaper
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Free Pineland
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Pete hit the nail on the head.

Turn your power off for a day or two and see how you will get by.

Most would be surprised how often you continue reaching for that switch when you enter a room, even after a day without electricity.

If the H5N1 projections are correct, this could be a temporary disruption in services with a potentially significant casualty list. It may not be the end of the world as we know it. The projections showed waves at regular intervals, so it will likely not be complete loss of resources continuously for years. Those who have 90 days or so of supply should be able to make it through the three waves without having to compete with the panic buyers after the first wave hits.

As far as stay or go, for those who are building a fortress, most residences will burn and burn quickly. If you are going to bunker up and hunker down in a metropolitan area, you better have 24/7 security and once hostilities start, keep people out of hand grenade/Molotov range.

Those who plan to evacuate better look at the hurricane traffic jams and do it early. There is no doubt that if things degenerate to a societal breakdown, roadblocks, roving gangs, etc. will make highway travel exciting and journeys of more than a few miles impossible.

I hope that it does not get to that, but if you look at NYC, the odds of surviving a disaster in a city with millions of people and no natural resources, or getting onto one of the routes out after trouble starts and making it out successfully is very likely close to zero. I wouldn't count on getting a lot after the first HTH epidemic wave starts.

The key will be having a plan with trigger events on a timetable and executing BEFORE things go very far downhill. If it is a false alarm, you burned a little gas and maybe missed a day or two of work.

The important thing is to have a realistic plan and rehearse it, then remain flexible.

TR
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