I go with #4 with the following qualifications. I am hopefully optimistic that the USG has been continually involved for decades.
Most of the arm-chair quarterbacking is based upon the cards that are showing. The good player dosen't show all of his cards and even keeps a few winners up his sleeve. In no way do I believe the USG has shown all of its cards.
However, what an opportune time to test our ABM system.