And
CNN is having a good laugh at his expense, saying the claims are baseless.
Well, if the following is any guide, it might take a few years to sort out the evidence. I found this on the Interwebs, and the BLUF is that POTUS's numbers might not be that far off:
Studies that claim voter fraud is rare generally look at instances where people were caught voting illegally. Yes, there are very few criminal cases of non-citizens voting. That does not necessarily mean anything though.
In a recent study, Richman et al., (2014) asked non-citizens if they were registered to vote.
19.8% of non-citizens in 2008 claimed to be registered to vote, or even that they had their voter registration confirmed.
In 2010 15.6% of non-citizens claimed they were registered to vote.
Richman et al., (2014) estimate that as many as 620,000 registered voters are non-citizens. The only jurisdictions where non-citizens may register to vote are small municipalities in Maryland, and made up none of where data was gathered.
In both years, a small but significant minority of the registered non-citizen voters claimed they tried to vote but failed because they did not show up with the correct identification. This means some non-citizens try voting, and fail, and are not arrested for voter fraud. Instead they just get turned away from the booths, and go on with their lives.
Because of this, I speculate that they don’t show up in voter fraud cases. They were caught, but told they couldn’t vote because they did not have the right ID, and then walked away.
Reference:
Richman, J. T., Chattha, G. A., & Earnest, D. C. (2014). Do non-citizens vote in US elections? Electoral Studies, 36, 149-157.
http://www.judicialwatch.org/w...ns-Richman-et-al.pdf
Abstract: In spite of substantial public controversy, very little reliable data exists concerning the frequency with which non-citizen immigrants participate in United States elections. Although such participation is a violation of election laws in most parts of the United States, enforcement depends principally on disclosure of citizenship status at the time of voter registration. This study examines participation rates by non-citizens using a nationally representative sample that includes non-citizen immigrants. We find that some non-citizens participate in U.S. elections, and that this participation has been large enough to change meaningful election outcomes including Electoral College votes, and Congressional elections. Non-citizen votes likely gave Senate Democrats the pivotal 60th vote needed to overcome filibusters in order to pass health care reform and other Obama administration priorities in the 111th Congress.
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