Current election - Page 5

**Airbornelawyer** · 11-04-2014, 22:51

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Reaper

NC is called for Tillis, so we are looking at 7 pickups for the Repubs tonight.

Add LA when the runoff is done for +8.

Alaska will take time to collect and count, could be +9.

Looks like a big win for Repub governors as well.

TR

Indeed, a big win for Repub governors. Not just high profile races like Scott Walker's, or in so-called red states. The President before the election was trying to spin it as a year of elections in tough states for Democrats, but that doesn't explain Massachusetts and Illinois.

tonyz · 11-04-2014, 22:58

Quote:

Originally Posted by Airbornelawyer

Indeed, a big win for Repub governors. Not just high profile races like Scott Walker's, or in so-called red states. The President before the election was trying to spin it as a year of elections in tough states for Democrats, but that doesn't explain Massachusetts and Illinois.

And Scott Brown made it a close race in a NH Senate race that should really never have been that close.

Now, we watch for the phone and pen.

**Airbornelawyer** · 11-04-2014, 23:00

Regarding the calling of races, it is not just the exit polls.

With an incumbent, another big factor is looking at her prior performance in counties which have reported, and projecting the over/under there with the counties which have yet to report. So if she won a bunch of counties with 55% last time and only 51% this time, etc., you get a -4. So even if a big Dem county where she got 60% last time was left to report, you might apply that -4 and project 56% this time. Then you check your exit polls and ouija boards, and see if that will be enough to carry her across the finish line.

Sdiver · 11-05-2014, 01:37

This picture speaks volumes !!!!

Oldschool45B · 11-05-2014, 02:47

Who spends millions to get a job that pays roughly $135,000 a year without being bought and paid for? Two sides of the same shitty coin.

That said it IS better than 2nd place, but it is NOT what out Founding Fathers had in mind. I just wish the system had not been so corrupted over the last 200yrs. But it is what it is, and all we can do is use the second box of dissent; and hope to stave off the third box.

ddoering · 11-05-2014, 04:14

Quote:

Originally Posted by tonyz

Now, we watch for the phone and pen.

And the impeachment and trial.

Badger52 · 11-05-2014, 05:59

Not coincidentally, the blue spots in addition to the area surrounding the people's enclave of Madison are also U-W campus locations. There be some butt-hurt going on this morning.

On the downside, district-wise, failed to fire an 18-year tick (Ron Kind) who gets to go back to DC. The retired Apache-driver made a good run of it but Kind's big electorate is on the river (another U-W town).

On the upside, 2 Dem ticks in the state assembly are sent packing. These are particularly sweet to me because they were members during the previous Doyle administration who "in a bi-partisan fashion" passed shall-carry, and then swung their vote back in a failure to override the expected veto. Don't let the door hit you in the ass.

That issue was also the subject of a very telling ad by Walker, featuring a lady who'd been assaulted & messaged to let her sisters know that defending oneself was also a matter of choice. Burke had zero precedent to counter that.

Walker had taken about half of the money not needed for totally funding state employees' health insurance and plowed it back into the transportation fund (the so-called "Walker slashes education" ads) & successfully contrasted that against his predecessor who routinely raided it. This also resulted in near universal success for the referendum to lock this up by law, and the registrations, fees & fuel taxes that feed it. No one here wants to pay tolls like down near Chicago for the privilege of driving a stage of the Baja 1000.

POTUS & FLOTUS visits didn't do much for the challenger except to give the kool-aid drinkers something to attend that day. Nice to see Iowa's Joni Ernst pickup one of the Senate seats.

MtnGoat · 11-05-2014, 06:06

Big win in NC, for unseating of Hagan. Sends a message, you don't work for the people of your State you're Fired!!

I feel that VA is a big upset for the DemocRats, I think VA should be a run off with all the Voter machine issues and that it's under 1% merge. This is the biggest surprise for the DemocRats. They thought they had VA and it, along with NC, slipped away from them.

GOP Must come out and send a strong message to America that they are here for the People that voted for the change. They need to start now to set the stage for 2016. I would love to see GOP, Mitch McConnell, during a press conference stand there with all 350+ bills waiting to the POTUS. Tell America this is everything that your former Senate has been holding back on. These the bills that we will take to your POTUS and work to get them signed. For the ones that don't need his signature we will work with the different sub-committees and get them into motion without his signature.

Yesterday was a great day for America, well if you like change.