2018 Baseball Season
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It's opening day, so .... PLAY BALL !!!!!
LET'S GO CUBBIES !!!!!! :lifter |
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Cardinals underwhelm the Mets.
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Opening Day
1 down 161 to go..... :lifter |
Try as I have over the last few years, I cannot make sense of MLB having opening day and the very next day teams have a day off. What? You just played 1 game, why do you require time off?
This ridiculous scheduling results in the Mets/Cards playing Thursday, NO Friday night home game for Mets fans, then resuming on Saturday and Sunday. |
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When you figure it out mebbe you kin 'splain it to me Lucy. :rolleyes: |
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NL Central still looks like the typical hairball among the top-3. The Brewers fans up this way are beside themselves; standing vis a vis the Cubs looks like reverse of previous years. But to their credit they're playing good ball. At least I get to watch Cubs play occasionally when they play MKE 'cause those games haven't been sold off to MLBN & hit the tube locally.
No idea what's up with Cincinnati. The rule about 6 mound visits/game seems to have sped things up a bit. Now if the hitters could quit taking a stroll & readjusting their entire wardrobe after every pitch... :rolleyes: And the snow seems to be gone for real this time. |
AL East is "same as it ever was". Boston and NYY atop, nobody cares in the middle and Baltimore, wandering in the dark cellar, found a shovel and started digging.
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I think Baltimore needs to trade Manny for a couple of bats, or perhaps a coach. Buck is about to run out of string.
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Worst situation for them is to be "close" to MAYBE a second wildcard spot and they keep Manny and he just walks at the end of the year and they get nothing out of it. Baltimore keeps pulling in pitching off of the scrap heap and single-dimensional offensive players (big bats, high strikeout rate). They could rework things around the 20-somethings (Mancini, Schoop and Bundy) but after that 14 year drought nobody has the stomach to go through a real rebuild. The Farm isn't growing much for them but I don't think they're going to have a choice. |
I suppose the biggest surprises so far this season are the underperformance of the Dodgers and the Nationals, and the overperformance of the Braves. The Diamondbacks also seem to be way ahead of expectations.
I doubt much will change in Baltimore until Peter Angelos is out of the picture. |
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Yeah.. Angelos likes his Beer-league softball offense. |
Cubs @ Cardinals tonight.
Go Cards!:lifter |
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Always a good time. Two fan-bases that really understand the game & travel well. |
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Get well wishes - he is currently The Bar for anyone who ever played that position & an example for all young catchers around. |
My two teams, St. Louis and Atlanta are doing OK this year. I am especially surprised at how well Atlanta is doing. Their young players are showing world class poise and maturity and the Braves are a fun team to watch.
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Looking at both ends of the spectrum now:
The Bo-sox are doing well. AL East is back to the old way of business with NY and Boston swapping the 1 spot. At the other end of the spectrum is Baltimore who is not just in the basement but continues to dig as they achieve historic lows. |
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The top-3 in the NL Central will always seem to make it a dogfight. A fishing buddy Brewers fan I congratulated about his team's ball-playing lately just shook his head & muttered something about "we haven't reached the AS break yet; there's still time for the Brewers to puke on their shoes." Cubs/Cards are always a good time & both fans travel well. Get dirty kids! :cool: |
With the exception of the AL East (as usual), there seem to be the regular number of division hair-balls developing in advance of the All-Star break - and a trade deadline.
I see the Cubs perhaps moving some folks around in their system (or up & down) in an attempt to shore up the starting rotation. The bats are there & the bullpen is excellent but a couple of well-paid starters have GOT to quit giving up runs early. Lester remains a battler no matter what, as does Quintana now that he's settled down. Kyle Hendricks is having mechanical issues, like Rube Goldberg occasionally takes over his delivery or something. WTF? After the Twins acquitting themselves well (but still being swept) in Wrigley, they travel up to Milwaukee now & might be a little po'd so the Brewers'd better watch out. With the heat wave, the ball was really being launched during that series - proof positive that it's still possible to hit Waveland or Sheffield Avenues even with the new graphics boards in place. Atlanta (at the expense of the Cards) has percolated itself to the top of their division it seems & are playing some pretty good ball. |
As we head toward the All Star break...What is everyone's thought on the comparison of AL and NL overall records.
The top 4 records all held by AL teams with the (hot) Atlanta Braves coming in at the top of the NL. Is there significant strength in the AL this year or is it that there are just more bad teams in the AL divisions that allow for high winning percentages? Seems most of the teams at the bottom of the overall are also from the NL. As a side note.... Baltimore (what else can go wrong) lost a pitcher to the DL for an ankle injury while running the bases in interleague play :rolleyes: |
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Boston is 25-7 against AL East teams not located in the Bronx. The Yankees are only 15-10 against AL East teams not located in Boston (and they are 5-4 against the Red Sox), so they are not dominating their division the way the Red Sox are. They still have 42 games to play against AL East rivals, compared to 35 for the Red Sox.
The Yankees are 11-2 against the AL Central, 16-6 against the AL West and 8-6 against the NL East. Boston is 6-6 against the AL Central, 17-10 against the AL West and 6-1 against the NL East (and are leading the Nats in the 8th inning as I write this). Neither has played any NL Central or West teams, and won't for the rest of the regular season. Coming into the season, I think that 11 teams (the Rays, Tigers, ChiSox, Royals, A's, Braves, Phillies, Marlins, Pirates, Reds and Padres were perceived as being in various stages of "rebuilding" or tanking for draft picks), while 4 other teams were probably deluding themselves that they were better than they were (Orioles, Blue Jays, Rangers, Mets). Of the other 15 teams, 9 probably had reasonable expectations of reaching the post-season, at least as a wild card (Red Sox, Yankees, Indians, Astros, Nationals, Cubs, Dodgers, D'backs, Rockies) and 6 were somewhat hopeful (Twins, Mariners, Angels, Brewers, Cardinals, Giants). So the biggest "upside" surprises so far appear to be the Braves and the Phillies, who seem to be much further along in their rebuilds than expected, and Oakland. The Pirates, though below .500, still appear to be better than expected. The Braves are 27-14 against their division and 22-21 against the rest of MLB. The Phillies are only 15-17 against the NL East, but that is because 22 of these games have been against the Braves and Nats and they still have 28 games left against the Marlins and Mets. The Mariners are also performing better than expected, especially without Cano. I don't know enough about the Brewers to have a strong opinion - they improved in the offseason, but a lot of their wins are against weaker teams. Baltimore's woes, by the way, continue as Colby Rasmus basically just quit, and without even giving enough warning to allow the team to bring up a replacement. |
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I think part of the pain in Baltimore is raised expectations and false hope. Their "up" years had more to do with both New York and Boston going through a generational change in their rosters. It's back to "normal" now which only amplifies the gap between those checkbooks and everyone else's.
The chatter is about what their rebuild plan is. It might be best served moving to the NL. R10 |
Coming out of the All Star Break.... What's your expectation
Well, the mid-summer classic has gone by. The Manny Machado "rental" has happened, so now what?
The BoSox remain the team to beat in the AL East, managing to work up a 4.5 game lead on the Yanks. Being a New Englander I have a healthy appreciation for the historic post-All Star collapses of the Red Sox in the past. They are looking strong this year so the second half will be fun I think. The O's will hopefully get over the "Black Knight" syndrome and admit that they are dead and looking at MAYBE 3 or 4 years of rebuild. The fire sale needs to happen NOW for any player they don't have control of beyond 2021, because that's real. This is all compounded by the question of whether they move on from the current Manager and GM. On to October |
Did anyone see the introduction of the Medal of Honor recipients at the All-Star Game? It was a great moment, even for someone as cynical as me about how much the "honor our troops" stuff by MLB seems more marketing gesture than genuine expression of patriotism.
WRT to the Orioles, I guess the question is do they just rent out the rest of their pending free agents like Britton and Adam Jones, or do they see what kind of return they can get for younger players like Bundy and Givens, or even if they can get takers for Trumbo or Cobb. |
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IRT the O's I think anyone who heads to free agency between 2019 - 2021 should be on the table. Focus should be on building the farm and getting the younger guys experience. |
MLB; ATTENDANCE
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I enjoy watching the Cubs when I can but most of those opportunities relate to them playing Milwaukee, where the Fox station up here covers them ALWAYS. Having an HF station & a long piece of wire the most common method here is old-fashioned AM radio while doing something else if I'm in the house. But the selling off of games to MLBN's near monopoly has not made any friends. |
11 of 30 teams have higher average attendance this year. Among these are the Astros (+22%), Phillies (+11%), Brewers (+10%), Yankees (+7%), Mariners (+4%) and Braves (+4%). So putting a winning product on the field is certainly a factor. Conversely, the biggest decline is, unsurprisingly, the Marlins (-53%), followed by the Royals (-25%), Blue Jays (-25%), Pirates (-23%) and Tigers (-23%).
Another factor that has to be considered is the really bad weather early in the season, compounded by starting the season earlier in late March, which probably depressed attendance in cities like Chicago, Boston and Cleveland. And the Cubs, Red Sox and Indians are also probably hurt by having so many tanking teams in their divisions. Would you pay the ridiculously high prices for tickets and beer at Fenway to see the Orioles or Rays? Where I am, I can see both Orioles and Nationals games on MASN or MASN2, so TV viewing is not a problem. This MLB/Facebook deal is annoying, because I have no intention of watching a baseball game on Facebook, or having anything to do with Facebook period. Regarding the MOH ceremony, here is the video: https://www.mlb.com/video/antonetti-...d/c-2284755483 There were 29 recipients present at the game: CSM Bennie Adkins COL Donald Ballard COL Harvey Barnum, Jr. SGT Gary Beikirch MCSWO Edward Byers COL Bruce Crandall COL Roger Donlon SP4 Michael Fitzmaurice LTG Robert Foley LTC Harold Fritz LTC Charles Hagemeister CAPT Thomas Kelley LTC Charles Kettles CSM Gary Littrell MG James Livingston COL Walter Marm, Jr. SP5 James McCloughan SFC Melvin Morris CSM Robert Patterson MSG Leroy Petry COL Gordon Roberts SSG Clinton Romesha CPT Gary Rose SFC Ronald Rosser SP5 Clarence Sasser SGM Kenneth Stumpf MAJ James Taylor 1LT Brian Thacker CPL Hershel "Woody" Williams In case it's not clear from the abbreviations, CAPT Kelley was a navy captain, and CPT Rose was an Army captain (and SF medical NCO). |
Regarding attendance and the attitude of fans toward their local team and the game as a whole, there's another set of factors at play, though I have no idea other than a gut feeling as to how much these factors matter as compared to others. This is the combination of free agency, analytics and fantasy sports.
Free agency has obviously been around for a while, so its role in a player's loyalty or lack thereof to an organization is pretty well known. Ever since the Moneyball/analytics "revolution", though, you have to combine this with the way organizations now view players as quantifiable and disposable pieces, rather than individual personalities. With some exceptions, whatever residual notions of loyalty between players and teams are gone. If it is not a quantifiable metric, it is at best ignored or at worst sneered at by the baseball cognoscenti. Non-quantifiable factors like team chemistry and leadership and being a good dugout presence no longer carry much weight. The net result is, with few exceptions such as the Orioles ownership's inexplicably high regard for Chris Davis, teams and players don't really matter to each other. Then comes the growth of rotisserie leagues and fantasy baseball. Now fans have jumped on the bandwagon of interchangeable pieces and can pick and choose which players they root for, rather than which teams. Why go to a game to see the one or two players who might be of interest, when you can just check the highlights or box scores of multiple games to see how all your picks did? Furthermore, the growth of sports betting sites like DraftKings means you also have a financial incentive to divorce yourself from caring about individual teams and focusing instead on individual players. That all said, my only real perspective is baseball, so maybe there's a bigger picture I'm missing. I stopped following professional football and college basketball years ago, and I never cared for professional basketball, and association football just bores me to tears. Other than occasional mentions of the NFL's kneeling controversy, I know nothing about football popularity and attendance issues. |
AL,
My personal take has been that Fantasy sports and metrics have moved fans out of the stands and onto their computers. I don't "do" fantasy leagues but my uneducated assessment is that there is little interest in a team's performance as they are focused on individual players across multiple teams. Mixing that with free-agency amplifies the loss of interest in "team" sports outside of jersey and hat sales. Not like when I grew up. I still can recite the Red Sox roster from back then because those guys were there year after year. R10 |
NL Central continues to be a dogfight. Although the Cubs lead, the Cards & Brewers have positioned themselves to have a stab at both NL Wild Card spots. Need more hairball? The Cubs have 2 series remaining against the Brewers before this thing is done... ain't over till it's over. What a division.
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The Cardinals have been impressive since firing Matheny and blowing up the roster. I'd like to see them slugging it out with the Cubs for the division championship the last weekend of the season (and winning it of course).
For this Cardinals team to come back and win it all (World Series) would be legendary. |
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For all the flipping potential of 2 series left with the Brewers, the Cubs host the Cards for the final games; always a fun time. Someone mentioned to me recently how they manage to see Cubs & Cards fans all over the place, wherever they play - then used that old announcers' expression "the fans travel well." My answer: "No, we have embedded cells all over the country that can be activated on demand." :D |
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