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NousDefionsDoc
02-14-2006, 19:37
http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/news/opinion/13841548.htm

MILITARY AFFAIRS
Pentagon plan deemed inadequate
BY JOSEPH L. GALLOWAY
jgalloway@krwashington.com

No one has been more contemptuous of Cold War thinking and planning in our military than Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld and his band of transformers and reformers, and yet when it came time to fish or cut bait last week they just sat in the boat doing nothing.

The Defense Department thinkers have had four years to write the document that is to guide and inform our military strategy, tactics, arms acquisition and manpower for the next 20 years, the Quadrennial Defense Review mandated by Congress.

Hard choices

For months the Rumsfeld lieutenants have floated trial balloons warning that the most capital-intensive branches of service, the Air Force and Navy with their costly aircraft and ships, were going to feel the pain of severe cutbacks or cancellations of cherished next generation goodies.

The savings would be invested in lower tech but higher utility things like the soldiers and Marines who are still required to win wars the old-fashioned way, by killing people, and controlling contested territory by the simple act of standing on it, rifle in hand.

After all the talking and posturing and debating, what did they choose to do? The short answer: Nothing much different. No hard choices made. Both the old and the new continue rolling along, and the problem is shoved along for another administration, in another QDR, to solve and pay for.

The QDR with its talk of preparing to fight the ''long war'' against terrorists and irregulars came out as the Bush administration unveiled a $439 billion 2007 Defense budget.

In the budget the Pentagon continues to fund three very costly short-range jet fighters -- The F/A-22 Raptor, the F/A-18 Super Hornet and the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter -- as well as the Navy's Virginia class nuclear attack submarine at $2.4 billion each and the CVN-21 next generation aircraft carrier and the DD(X) destroyer. The Army's expensive and futuristic Advanced Combat Systems program based on systems that haven't been invented yet is still rolling along.

War against terror

The huge weapons programs may be sexy, and certainly they are beloved by members of Congress in whose districts the big defense industry plants and shipyards are located. The usefulness of such aircraft and ships in the wars against terrorism in places like Afghanistan and Iraq, however, is just about zero, since our control of air and sea are unchallenged there and elsewhere in the foreseeable future.

At a time when many analysts say that our problems in Iraq lead back to a failure to send enough soldiers and Marines to secure the place after the invasion, there's no money in the 2007 budget to increase Army and Marine manpower -- and the QDR actually calls for shrinking the Army from today's inadequate 491,000 to no more than 482,400 over the next five years.

The budget proposes a 30 percent increase in the number of special operations, psychological warfare and civil affairs units vital to counterinsurgency operations, but the money earmarked for the language and cultural training members of such units desperately need -- $191 million -- is less than the cost of just one F-35 Joint Strike Fighter.

Another problem that was not addressed in the budget or the QDR is re-capitalization of transport aircraft, helicopters, vehicles and gear of the military. Put simply, that stuff has been ground down in nonstop operations in Iraq and Afghanistan over the last three-plus years. Assuming that sometime in the next four years our forces will be coming home, we will need to fund repairs and replacement programs that won't be cheap.

The war costs, which will top $300 billion this year, have to date been funded by off-budget supplemental bills. When the war ends, so too will the supplemental pile of cash.

The trouble with this nuts-and-bolts budgeting and the strategic vision, or lack of it, in the Rumsfeld Pentagon and the Bush White House is that they won't be around when the bills come due.

Consider the enemy

One military analyst, Col. (ret.) Ken Allard, former dean of students at the National War College, put it this way:

``As Winston Churchill was unkind enough to point out, it is occasionally necessary in war to suspend one's preferences and actually consider the enemy. The QDR has not done that for one simple reason. It says little or nothing about the need for soldiers. And how they can best be provided, trained, protected and sustained to meet an enemy who thinks in generational rather than technological timelines -- which is why that enemy thinks he can win and why he may be right.''

Joseph L. Galloway is the senior military correspondent for Knight Ridder Newspapers.

NousDefionsDoc
02-14-2006, 19:37
They should put a Sp4 in charge of that thing...

The Reaper
02-14-2006, 20:17
I know COL Allard as well as having met Joe Galloway.

There are several other experts who agree with them, as do I.

Few who think that the QDR is on the right track have spoken up.

I hope that the next administration, whatever the party, is more pragmatic and has more SA than the current one seems to.

TR

Jack Moroney (RIP)
02-14-2006, 20:25
Well until they get the target set right no one is going to get it right. We don't have a war against terror, we have a war against Islamic Fundamentalists who use terror, as well as other tactics/techniques/procedures, as one of their tools in their asymetric warfare to accomplish several objectives in their campaign to co-opt Islam and re-establish the Caliphate. That is only one part of the equation and certainly not the only threat we need to be able to address.

CPTAUSRET
02-14-2006, 21:01
Well until they get the target set right no one is going to get it right. We don't have a war against terror, we have a war against Islamic Fundamentalists who use terror, as well as other tactics/techniques/procedures, as one of their tools in their asymetric warfare to accomplish several objectives in their campaign to co-opt Islam and re-establish the Caliphate. That is only one part of the equation and certainly not the only threat we need to be able to address.

Jack:

You make a lot of sense. We need to get together, down a few cold ones, and solve the worlds problems.

You also need to meet Nancy.

Terry

Solid
02-14-2006, 23:57
I hate to step into a gentlemen's discussion like this, but I was looking to proffer a few thoughts:
1. Regardless of political party, the majority of governments will be unable to make cut-backs in Navy and AF spending because, with the most expensive/high R&D products, these branches are the most protected by the military-industrial complex. Conversely, Army and Marine corps projects tend to be less expensive. Thus, there is immense pressure from industry on Congress and the Pentagon not to cut spending on the AF and Navy.

2. Based on the above point, despite noteable theories to the contrary, budget makers will be led to believe that wars necessitating big, high-tech weapons (ie: against China) are the future, or at least a good part of it. Again, budgets will be geared towards these two branches by gearing future projections towards Great Power Warfare.

3. There seems to be a general failure to understand that there are noteable similarities between Great Power War and 4GW, and that it is in these areas of smiliarity that the most 'bang for the buck' will be achieved.

4. One of these areas is in the development of the infantry. This does not necessarily mean the development of new land warfare technology, which seems to be a black hole into which money disappears (seems like the private sector is doing much better than Nattick, but this could just be my ill-informed perception). Instead, money could and should be spent in developing our personnel.

Great Power Wars are not limited wars. If China and America fight, it isn't going to be a pretty affair occuring on a limited battlefield. Instead, it is likely to be an out-and-out no-holds barred monkey stomping fest (which is why IMO it won't happen). Total wars mean that the enemy must be totally crushed. This means having boots on the ground to deny land/support to the enemy.

Thus, we develop our boots to be better at taking land, especially in urban terrain in which soldiers may attempt to mix with the population. This could be achieved by:

1. Training crowd control / non lethal force techniques extensively
2. Increasing MOUT training
3. Increasing the size and quality of our interrogation corps.
4. Increasing the size and capabilities of our language schools
5. Increasing wages, not so that soldiers turn a profit but so that they can work without worry for their families. Living and schooling is becoming more expensive, and much of what I read/hear/see suggests that soldiers are simply not being paid to keep up with inflation.

I understand that so far all my logic has been simple and that I'm hardly saying anything new, but it seems to me like the administration is either missing the point entirely or is totally in the pocket of the likes of Lockheed and Boeing.

This is all just my opinion,

Solid

Roguish Lawyer
02-15-2006, 11:43
Well until they get the target set right no one is going to get it right. We don't have a war against terror, we have a war against Islamic Fundamentalists who use terror, as well as other tactics/techniques/procedures, as one of their tools in their asymetric warfare to accomplish several objectives in their campaign to co-opt Islam and re-establish the Caliphate. That is only one part of the equation and certainly not the only threat we need to be able to address.

Totally concur. How come you're not in charge?

Jack Moroney (RIP)
02-15-2006, 11:49
Totally concur. How come you're not in charge?


No one seems to want adult supervision and besides I would have had to been promoted to general and I swore to myself a long time ago that the only way I'd ever wear a star was if I took a job at Texaco:D

VelociMorte
02-15-2006, 13:47
One thing to consider...complex weapons systems like Carriers and Combat Aircraft require a huge infrastructure and long lead-times to produce. Even with the infrastructure already in place, it takes over a decade from the time a new warship or combat aircraft is conceived, until the time it is actually fielded. If you stop producing them for any length of time, the factories and shipyards close, and the skills required to build these items perishes.

Jack Moroney (RIP)
02-15-2006, 15:46
If China and America fight, it isn't going to be a pretty affair occuring on a limited battlefield.
Solid

It is already occurring. China has been forming agreements along the Asian coast line to prohibit US naval vessels from using port facilities. They have been active in the Spratlys and have developed an amphibious capability to be able to seize those Islands, they have us by the short hairs with the amount of our debt that they own, they are driving up the price of oil not for their consumption but to hobble our oil based economy, they have convinced folks that it is wise to invest in their country and we have many corporations sinking dollars and infrastructure into their economy at the risk of hurting the bottom line of some of our largest companies should we decide to act against them economically, they are tying up some of our military resources by overt threats to Taiwan, they could pull the plug on North Korea tommorrow if they so chose but it is in their best interest to keep this confrontation going-under their control of course, and that is just the tip of the ice berg. China will not move overtly but are masters of asymetric warfare which they have already initiated and will continue to adhere to Sun Tzu while they prepare the battlespace until it is to their advantage before our feckless DOS and village idiots that have been chased from local politics in their respective states into the capitol rotunda wake up. Meanwhile, while we build our net-centric capability to produce a technological marvel that fits our desired way of fighting a war, I am sure that China is developing countermeasures to unravel all of it by taking out our space based assets with great help from Heir Slickster Clinton. No, there is not an if, the if is now and we are currently on the bottom end of the spectrum of conflict and moving, in accordance with China's game plan, towards a higher level of conflict. So enjoy the use of your blackberry, gps, and latest toys but do not neglect your Silva Ranger and paper map reading skills.

stone
02-15-2006, 16:53
Wow, that's fascinating-- this site proffers a hell of an education-- thanks for sharing these thoughts and ideas.

Martin
02-16-2006, 06:00
Commercial photos show Chinese nuke buildup (http://www.washtimes.com/national/20060216-020211-7960r.htm)

Martin