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Roguish Lawyer
12-03-2015, 13:22
I am interested in thoughts on the following editorial in today's Wall Street Journal:

Ted Cruz’s bid for the GOP’s presidential nomination has always rested on the proposition that he is the only “real Republican” in the race. So why is the junior Senator from Texas advocating a Syria policy that seems to have been drawn from President Obama’s situation room?

“In my view, we have no dog in the fight of the Syrian civil war,” Mr. Cruz said Monday in a Bloomberg interview. “If you look at President Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton and for that matter some of the more aggressive Washington neo-cons, they have consistently misperceived the threat of radical Islamic terrorism and have advocated military adventurism that has had the effect of benefiting radical Islamic terrorists.”

Mr. Cruz’s salvo was aimed at GOP rival Marco Rubio, who has cut a strong foreign-policy profile in a race increasingly defined by security anxieties. The Florida Senator, Mr. Cruz claimed, is with Hillary Clinton in advocating a policy in Syria that would give weapons to “the so-called moderate rebels” and impose no-fly zones over parts of the country. The two “are repeating the very same mistakes they made in Libya. They’ve demonstrated they’ve learned nothing.”

This is disingenuous even by Mr. Cruz’s standards. At a rally in South Carolina last month, the Texan outlined an anti-Islamic State strategy that had two main planks: use “overwhelming air power” to bomb the group into the stone age, while arming the Kurdish peshmerga to fight it from the ground.

“[The Kurds] are right now fighting against ISIS every day, but their weapons are vastly outclassed because ISIS has American equipment they seized in Iraq,” Mr. Cruz said. As to whether the U.S. should deploy GIs, the Senator replied: “We have boots on the ground. The Kurds are our boots on the ground.”

Where have we seen this before? It sounds close to the lead-from-behind approach adopted by the Obama Administration for Libya: air strikes but no troops, a de facto alliance with moderate local forces to do the ground fighting, and no follow-up. The approach at least succeeded in ending the Gadhafi regime, but it failed as a policy because the U.S. and NATO abandonment of Libya after Gadhafi’s fall allowed jihadist groups to flourish as the country descended into chaos. If anyone hasn’t learned the lessons of Libya, it’s Mr. Cruz.

The Texan’s defensiveness might have something to do with his opposition to the National Security Agency’s bulk telephony metadata collection programs, which looks dangerous as policy and politics after the terror attacks in Paris. Mr. Cruz was a cosponsor of the legislation last summer that killed the program over Mr. Rubio’s opposition, and one of Mr. Cruz’s campaign lines is to encourage audiences to turn on their cell phones so President Obama can listen in.

This is an especially demagogic line that misrepresents what the NSA was doing—tracing suspicious patterns of who’s calling whom but not listening to random phone calls. Mr. Cruz is spreading the same myths that Edward Snowden does.

On Syria Mr. Cruz’s “no dog in the fight” line is a way of doubling down on his 2013 opposition to enforcing a chemical red line in Syria by bombing the Assad regime. That bipartisan failure to enforce President Obama’s red line sent a disastrous signal that U.S. threats were empty and encouraged much of the mayhem that has followed—from Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine to Islamic State’s capture of Mosul. Mr. Rubio also opposed military strikes, but he seems to have learned from the mistake.

U.S. inaction in Syria has strengthened the worst actors there—ISIS and the Nusra Front on the one side; Hezbollah, the Assad regime, Iran and Russia on the other—while creating the refugee crisis Mr. Cruz seems to think is the gravest crisis to U.S. security. Mr. Cruz might want to stop Syrians at the Mexican border, but opposing immigration and refugees is not a foreign policy.

Several GOP candidates have laid out a far better Syria strategy than Mr. Cruz’s imitation of Mr. Obama. It starts with a much faster destruction of Islamic State in its strongholds in eastern Syria and northern Iraq through air power, the Kurdish peshmerga and what remains of the Free Syrian Army, and former General Jack Keane’s recommendation of perhaps 6,500 more U.S. ground forces than the 3,500 already there.

The effort would include creating and enforcing no-fly and no-drive zones in Syria on the model of the 1991 intervention in northern Iraq. Sustaining such safe zones is the only immediate remedy for the refugee crisis, but it can also help establish new borders in a country that no longer exists. The strategy would also require the destruction of the Assad regime’s air bases—to stop it from barrel bombing civilians and signal to Syria’s Sunni majority that our anti-ISIS campaign is not part of a U.S. conspiracy against the Sunnis.

Mr. Cruz’s Syria and NSA gambits seem intended to signal to Rand Paul and Donald Trump supporters that he should be their number two choice. Perhaps it will work as primary politics. But the positions—and opportunism—don’t speak well of his judgment as a potential Commander in Chief.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/ted-cruzs-syria-dog-1449102321

Trapper John
12-03-2015, 19:03
Mr. Cruz’s Syria and NSA gambits seem intended to signal to Rand Paul and Donald Trump supporters that he should be their number two choice. Perhaps it will work as primary politics. But the positions—and opportunism—don’t speak well of his judgment as a potential Commander in Chief.


Here's a clue: He is a politician after all! ;)

Several GOP candidates have laid out a far better Syria strategy than Mr. Cruz’s imitation of Mr. Obama. It starts with a much faster destruction of Islamic State in its strongholds in eastern Syria and northern Iraq through air power, the Kurdish peshmerga and what remains of the Free Syrian Army, and former General Jack Keane’s recommendation of perhaps 6,500 more U.S. ground forces than the 3,500 already there.

Well it's a start. Unfortunately no one has a follow-on plan. The end result will look a lot like Libya in the worst case or Vietnam in the best case.

Our track record is not too good in these matters. With a fundamentally ideological conflict at play here, we must take the long view. Going in with conventional or hyperconventional military action can certainly bring about a military victory in relatively short order (faster still if we are willing to use Napalm as an offensive weapon :D).

However, the risk is that we will actually enhance the radical Islamic ideology and recruitment elsewhere - Africa for instance. Very likely IMO given our short-sighted whack-a-mole approach that has been our history.

I just don't see any of the candidates for POTUS as having even a whiff of clue!

craigepo
12-03-2015, 20:59
I do not have enough time to give this issue the attention it deserves. Briefly, I would argue a few points:
1. Western civillization must accept that we must be in this for the long haul. The next 4 years, or the next 4 presidents, is just a start. Muslims have hated and killed everybody since Mohammad died, they aren't going to change.
2. The military side is only one part of the strategy necessary to win. Take a look at what ministries like Leading The Way are doing. They and others are winning, and they are doing it the right way.
3. Cruz needs to put forward a good retail plan to get through the election, and later start trying to reverse 8 years of Obama's Muslim apologetics.
4. Radio Free Europe did a lot of good work. Why do we let Al Jazeera monopolize the media in the Middle East?
5. We need a lot more General Sherman, and a lot less General Schwarzkopf.

Honestly, there are people spending years of their life working on these issues, and I feel idiotic writing bullet points. But, if I were running an election, I would assume that, after the last few months, the American people realize that we are at war against militant Muslims. I would campaign accordingly.

JJ_BPK
12-04-2015, 06:17
I am interested in thoughts on the following editorial in today's Wall Street Journal:

Ted Cruz’s bid for the GOP’s presidential nomination has always rested on the proposition that he is the only “real Republican” in the race. So why is the junior Senator from Texas advocating a Syria policy that seems to have been drawn from President Obama’s situation room?

(LET ME TELL YOU MY OPINION)


http://www.wsj.com/articles/ted-cruzs-syria-dog-1449102321

It's an editorial, with a mix of Ted said and I think.

The line between the two is very thin and can lead a reader to interpret..

I'm not sold on Ted, but I think he is a little more of an isolationist with strong right tendencies.

Personally, I think we have wasted to much time and to many lives with a patch-work effort for the last 25 years.

On the military side, I would like to see limited old-school SF efforts with massive stand-off ordinance, delivered by who ever,, IN VOLUME...

F... ROE, this is war, get over it..

Additionally, I would like to see the US exert as much effort as possible to the economic infrastructure(s). To include the oil and drug industries that supply the rag-head with monies.

Probably not what you wanted,, but it's...

My $00.00002 :munchin