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The Reaper
09-14-2014, 17:17
Given enough money and dedication to the cause, what is beyond their capability?

How do you attack the source of the funding?

How do we turn the Sunnis in the occupied areas away from ISIL and to our cause?

TR


ISLAMIC STATE GROUP'S WAR CHEST IS GROWING DAILY
By KEN DILANIAN
- Sep. 14, 2014 7:09 AM EDT


http://bigstory.ap.org/article/islamic-state-groups-war-chest-growing-daily

WASHINGTON (AP) - Islamic State militants, who once relied on wealthy Persian Gulf donors for money, have become a self-sustaining financial juggernaut, earning more than $3 million a day from oil smuggling, human trafficking, theft and extortion, according to U.S. intelligence officials and private experts.

The extremist group's resources exceed that "of any other terrorist group in history," said a U.S. intelligence official who, like others interviewed, spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss classified assessments. Such riches are one reason that American officials are so concerned about the group even while acknowledging they have no evidence it is plotting attacks against the United States.

The Islamic State group has taken over large sections of Syria and Iraq, and controls as many as 11 oil fields in both countries, analysts say. It is selling oil and other goods through generations-old smuggling networks under the noses of some of the same governments it is fighting: Kurdish-controlled northern Iraq, Turkey and Jordan.

While U.S. intelligence does not assess that those governments are complicit in the smuggling, the Obama administration is pressing them do to more to crack down. The illicit oil is generally transported on tanker trucks, analysts said.

"There's a lot of money to be made," said Denise Natali, who worked in Kurdistan as an American aid official and is now a senior research fellow at National Defense University. "The Kurds say they have made an attempt to close it down, but you pay off a border guard you pay off somebody else and you get stuff through."

The price the Islamic State group fetches for its smuggled oil is discounted -$25 to $60 for a barrel of oil that normally sells for more than $100 - but its total profits from oil are exceeding $3 million a day, said Luay al-Khatteeb, a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution's Doha Center in Qatar.

The group also has earned hundreds of millions of dollars from smuggling antiquities out of Iraq to be sold in Turkey, al-Khatteeb said, and millions more from human trafficking by selling women and children as sex slaves.

Other revenue comes from extortion payments, ransom from kidnapped hostages, and outright theft of all manner of materials from the towns the Islamic State group has seized, analysts say.

"It's cash-raising activities resemble those of a mafia-like organization," a second U.S. intelligence official said, reflecting the assessment of his agency. "They are well-organized, systematic and enforced through intimidation and violence."

Even prior to seizing Mosul in June, for example, the group began to impose "taxes" on nearly every facet of economic activity, threatening death for those unwilling to pay, U.S. intelligence officials say. An analysis by the Council on Foreign Relations estimated the group was reaping $8 million a month from extortion in Mosul alone.

Once the group took over Mosul, in northern Iraq, and other areas, it grabbed millions of dollars in cash from banks, though not the hundreds of millions initially reported, U.S. intelligence officials say.

This spring, four French and two Spanish journalists held hostage by Islamic State extremists were freed after their governments paid multimillion-dollar ransoms through intermediaries.

The Islamic State group "has managed to successfully translate territorial control in northern Syria and portions of Iraq into a means of revenue generation," said a third U.S. intelligence official.

(Cont. at link above)

PRB
09-14-2014, 19:15
Interesting counter point.....

14 Million Refugees Make the Levant Unmanageable

by David P. Goldman
PJ Media
September 8, 2014

http://www.meforum.org/4800/14-million-refugees-make-the-levant-unmanageable


There are always lunatics lurking in the crevices of Muslim politics prepared to proclaim a new caliphate; there isn't always a recruiting pool in the form of nearly 14 million displaced people (11 million Syrians, or half the country's population, and 2.8 million Iraqis, or a tenth of the country's population). When I wrote about the region's refugee disaster at Tablet in July ("Between the Settlers and Unsettlers, the One State Solution is On Our Doorstep") the going estimate was only 10 million. A new UN study, though, claims that half of Syrians are displaced. Many of them will have nothing to go back to. When people have nothing to lose, they fight to the death and inflict horrors on others.

That is what civilizational decline looks like in real time. The roots of the crisis were visible four years ago before the so-called Arab Spring beguiled the foreign policy wonks. Hundreds of thousands of displaced Syrian farmers already were living in tent camps around Syrian cities before the Syrian civil war began in April 2011. Israeli analysts knew this. In March 2011 Paul Rivlin of Tel Aviv University released a study of the collapse of Syrian agriculture, widely cited in Arab media but unmentioned in the English language press (except my essay on the topic). Most of what passes for political science treats peoples and politicians as if they were so many pieces on a fixed game board. This time the game board is shrinking and the pieces are falling off.

The Arab states are failed states, except for the few with enough hydrocarbons to subsidize every facet of economic life. Egypt lives on a$15 billion annual subsidy from the Gulf states and, if that persists, will remain stable if not quite prosperous. Syria is a ruin, along with large parts of Iraq. The lives of tens of millions of people were fragile before the fighting broke out (30% of Syrians lived on less than $1.60 a day), and now they are utterly ruined. The hordes of combatants displace more people, and these join the hordes, in a snowball effect. That's what drove the Thirty Years' War of 1618-1648, and that's what's driving the war in the Levant.

When I wrote in 2011 that Islam was dying, this was precisely what I forecast. You can't unscramble this egg. The international organizations, Bill Clinton, George Soros and other people of that ilk will draw up plans, propose funding, hold conferences and publish studies, to no avail. The raw despair of millions of people ripped out of the cocoon of traditional society, bereft of ties of kinship and custom, will feed the meatgrinder. Terrorist organizations that were hitherto less flamboyant ("moderate" is a misdesignation), e.g. the Muslim Brotherhood (and its Palestine branch Hamas), will compete with the caliphate for the loyalties of enraged young people. The delusion about Muslim democracy that afflicted utopians of both parties is now inoperative. War will end when the pool of prospective fighters has been exhausted.

That is also why ISIS is overrated. A terrorist organization that beheads Americans and posts the video needs to be annihilated, but this is not particularly difficult. The late Sam Kinison's monologue on world hunger is to the point: they live in a desert. They may be hard to flush out of towns they occupy, but they cannot move from one town to another in open ground if warplanes are hunting them. That is what America and its allies should do.

More dangerous is Iran, as Henry Kissinger emphasized in a recent interview with National Public Radio. Iran's backing for the Assad regime's ethnic cleansing of Syrian Sunnis set the refugee crisis in motion, while the Iraqi Shi'ites' alliance with Iran persuaded elements of Saddam Hussein's military to fight for ISIS. Iran can make nuclear weapons and missiles; ISIS cannot. If we had had the foresight to neutralize Iran years ago, the crisis could have been managed without the unspeakable humanitarian cost.

We cannot do the killing ourselves, except, of course, from the air. We are too squeamish under the best of circumstances, and we are too corrupted by cultural relativism (remember George W. Bush's claim that Islam is "a religion of peace"?) to recognize utterly evil nihilism when it stares us in the face. In practice, a great deal of the killing will be done by Iran and its allies: the Iraqi Shi'a, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the Assad regime in Syria. It will be one of the most disgusting and disheartening episodes in modern history and there isn't much we can do to prevent it.


David P. Goldman is Senior Fellow at the London Center for Policy Research and Wax Family Writing Fellow at the Middle East Forum

NurseTim
09-14-2014, 20:29
I know it can't be as simple as, if they can count it, we can catch it.

Tell the irs that isis is a conservative organization bent on the destruction of the democratic party. Pit terrorist against terrorist.

Flagg
09-14-2014, 20:48
I posted earlier about my belief that there was a behavior change following the BP Gulf oil spill.

I reckon the volume of protest regarding the BP Gulf oil spill was inversely proportional to the price of energy.

As oil prices climbed, the protest shrank.

I see it as hitting part-time SUV driving environmentalists in the wallet.

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Energy/oil underpins the entire international monetary system.

ISIS doctrine is completely incompatible with both the consumers of energy as well as the owners of wealth where the liquidity of said wealth is sustained by the IMS underpinned by energy.

While the US has been reducing it's reliance on regional energy supply it doesn't reduce it's vulnerability to the volatility of energy price.

If part-time environmentalists awkwardly(and quickly) look away at the next oil spill(there's reasons why we have to drill deeper, farther, and with greater risk) not in their backyard......what will the part-time humanitarians be willing to ignore if their financial future is placed at serious risk by an organization and culture completely incongruent with their own.

Sooner or later?

Is there any other option/choice?