View Full Version : Romney's path to 270
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/04/06/obama_romney_and_the_pathways_to_270_electoral_vot es_113755-2.html
Judging by the polls thus far, it appears as though Romney (at this stage I'm all but certain he'll be the GOP nominee) will face a considerably uphill battle to winning 270 electoral votes in November. Obama has consistently possessed a lead over him in crucial states like Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and even Florida (albeit barely). Granted, it is definitely too early to pay all that much attention to the polls as a lot can and probably will happen between now and Election Day. Nevertheless, for now Obama possesses an easier path towards an electoral victory. I have a gut feeling that, just like in 2000, the Sunshine State will decide the outcome...
greenberetTFS
04-09-2012, 06:03
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/04/06/obama_romney_and_the_pathways_to_270_electoral_vot es_113755-2.html
Judging by the polls thus far, it appears as though Romney (at this stage I'm all but certain he'll be the GOP nominee) will face a considerably uphill battle to winning 270 electoral votes in November. Obama has consistently possessed a lead over him in crucial states like Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and even Florida (albeit barely). Granted, it is definitely too early to pay all that much attention to the polls as a lot can and probably will happen between now and Election Day. Nevertheless, for now Obama possesses an easier path towards an electoral victory. I have a gut feeling that, just like in 2000, the Sunshine State will decide the outcome...
We aren't going to make it with Romney...... :mad:I don't know right now who can beat "O",but Romney can't..........:mad: If he doesn't get those votes which I really believe he won't,expect another 4 more years of "O"...........:mad:
Big Teddy :munchin
rubberneck
04-09-2012, 06:30
It's still really early. Most Americans don't tune into Presidential elections until after Labor Day. In 2008 polls at this point had Bush losing to Kerry and in 1992 Bush Sr. had a comfortable edge over Clinton. I don't think Romney is a particularly strong candidate but it's far too early to predict how he'll fare in a general election.
GratefulCitizen
04-09-2012, 17:41
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida.
Those will be the critical ones.
This guy's been pretty accurate in the past:
http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php
We aren't going to make it with Romney...... :mad:I don't know right now who can beat "O",but Romney can't..........:mad: If he doesn't get those votes which I really believe he won't,expect another 4 more years of "O"...........:mad:
Big Teddy :munchin
Big Teddy, if Romney doesn't win by 10 electoral votes (nationally) or more, I'll send you a bottle of Jameson's.
It's still really early. Most Americans don't tune into Presidential elections until after Labor Day. In 2008 polls at this point had Bush losing to Kerry and in 1992 Bush Sr. had a comfortable edge over Clinton. I don't think Romney is a particularly strong candidate but it's far too early to predict how he'll fare in a general election.
I'm pretty sure this will be an ABO election, bro.
We aren't going to make it with Romney...... :mad:I don't know right now who can beat "O",but Romney can't..........:mad: If he doesn't get those votes which I really believe he won't,expect another 4 more years of "O"...........:mad:
Big Teddy :munchin
From what I have observed so far, Romney unfortunately seems to share some similarities to certain other politicians from the Bay State. Just as he has been in the primary, he'll once again be attacked as a "flip-flopper" (like Kerry) and may have trouble with his image and suffer from a lack of charisma and authenticity (like Dukakis AND Kerry). As this election will almost certainly be decided by swing voters, that's a potentially significant roadblock. And Dusty is absolutely right, a large amount of people are going to vote against #44 instead of for Romney. Count me in that group...
greenberetTFS
04-10-2012, 10:52
Big Teddy, if Romney doesn't win by 10 electoral votes (nationally) or more, I'll send you a bottle of Jameson's.
Dusty
Make sure it's the Jameson's 12 year old Reserve.......;):D
Big Teddy :munchin