View Full Version : Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
The Reaper
07-26-2009, 08:20
Looks like reality and the problem with trying to rule from the far left is taking its toll.
It is always easier to be a critic than to govern.
TR
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Sunday, July 26, 2009
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows that 29% of the nation's voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -11. That’s the first time his ratings have reached double digits in negative territory (see trends).
These updates are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Today is the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the President’s prime time televised press conference. The number who Strongly Approve of the President has remained unchanged since the press conference but the number who Strongly Disapprove has gone up by five percentage points (from 35% on Wednesday morning to 40% today).
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates also available on Twitter.
The President received generally poor grades for his response to a question about a Cambridge police incident involving a black Harvard professor. However, the results show a huge divide between black Americans and white Americans on all questions.
Overall, 49% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama’s numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That’s because some of the President’s most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.
The President is now seen as politically liberal by 76%. That’s up six points from a month ago, 11 points since he was elected, and the highest total to date. Forty-eight percent (48%) now see him as Very Liberal, up 20 points since he was elected
(More at link)
rubberneck
07-26-2009, 09:15
I wonder what impact these poll numbers is going to have on the President. On one hand he is a politician and like all career politicians he is going to hold on to power as long as he can. In that case he might begin to moderate his positions as his chances of getting re-elected are drawing smaller with each passing day. On the other hand, despite his rhetoric to the contrary, he is an idealogue. Like all idealogues he is so married to his beliefs that it is all but impossible for him to issue a course correction. Either way it is looking like the next mid-term elections could represent a seismic shift in the political landscape much like the mid-term elections in 1994. The conservative and first term Democrats have begun to balk knowing what is headed their way if they continue to go along with the President and the uber liberal wing of their party.
Good points.
In that case he might begin to moderate his positions as his chances of getting re-elected are drawing smaller with each passing day.
In doing that he will alienate the lefties who elected him based on the free handouts and politically correct policies he was promising. In which case his coattails won't be what they were in this last election (low dem voter turn out and disillusionment with the ideology), and we will see a turn over in the midterm elections.
On the other hand, despite his rhetoric to the contrary, he is an idealogue. Like all idealogues he is so married to his beliefs that it is all but impossible for him to issue a course correction.
In doing that he will continue to show is lack of readiness and ability to hold office as POTUS. Pure ideologists with no ability for compromise, diplomacy, and expedience in the political negotiation has no business running this country.
Either way, I still hold that he will be a one term President. People have had their historic moment. Now they are starting to realize that:
1. Playing the race card to get elected only serves to increase racial tensions during your tenure.
2. It might be a good idea to have someone with executive experience and ability acting as CIC of the United Stated.
3. Change is not created by one man and massive change driven by political correct ideology rather than fiscal responsibility is really expensive
I have a feeling that as this Health Care Reform bill continues to languish through the end of the year, his ratings will continue to plummet. The MSM is fickle and although he has been their golden boy ... drama and failure sells papers too.
Praetorian
07-26-2009, 11:07
I wonder what impact these poll numbers is going to have on the President. On one hand he is a politician and like all career politicians he is going to hold on to power as long as he can. In that case he might begin to moderate his positions as his chances of getting re-elected are drawing smaller with each passing day. On the other hand, despite his rhetoric to the contrary, he is an idealogue. Like all idealogues he is so married to his beliefs that it is all but impossible for him to issue a course correction. Either way it is looking like the next mid-term elections could represent a seismic shift in the political landscape much like the mid-term elections in 1994. The conservative and first term Democrats have begun to balk knowing what is headed their way if they continue to go along with the President and the uber liberal wing of their party.
Right now it wont effect HIM much.... He has a LONG TIME to fix his numbers.... And the White House will try to convince themselves that its because He hasn't delivered on socializing health care yet... There is a little truth to that. Hes losing the extreme left because Obamacare isn't SOCIALIST ENOUGH.... but the bigger issue of course is the moderates to Center righters who dont want OBAMACARE AT ALL are leaving him as well- These are centrists who voted AGAINST the Republicans because of Iraq... Not because they wanted a socialist utopia.
It WILL effect the centrist Democrats in congress from tight districts. They go on vacation at the end of the week and are going to get an EAR-FULL when they start doing the county fair/chili cook-off circuits. Obama care as it stands now is DRT unless something significant changes.
His poll numbers aside, history shows that the party out of power usually make significant gains in the off year election cycle... Whether it will be enough for Republicans to take back either house of power is pretty irrelevant to Obama at this point. Unless he's a FOOL, he knows that this is as good as its likely to get for him as far as support in the legislature goes... So its now or never.
alright4u
07-26-2009, 19:04
Retired military on tricare and/or those who use the VA had best the read the healthcare bill. What is amazing is the bill exempts Congress from this bill. They do not have to comply.
A quote from the past:
When citizens fear government, it is tyranny. When the government fears the citizens, it is freedom.
unknown author
Saw this story last night and couldn't believe it. Looks as if those that voted for "The One" are falling out of favor with him.
Click the link below, scroll down to videos and find "Colorado Rep. Jared Polis skeptical about Health Care plan".
http://www.kdvr.com/
Hummm....where's "Joe the Plummer" when you need him. I'm sure he'd tell the "Glove Lady".......I told you so !!!!!
:munchin
Hummm....where's "Joe the Plummer" when you need him. I'm sure he'd tell the "Glove Lady".......I told you so !!!!!
:munchin
He was in the news this weekend too: http://www.reuters.com/article/politicsNews/idUSTRE56N65J20090725
Dozer523
07-27-2009, 09:25
That is an interesting statistic . . . "The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. What does finding the average of extremes really tell?
Would you want a call for fire to go like this? "Drop 1,000" "Fire for Effect":confused:
Yeah it is a bracket but. . .
The Reaper
07-27-2009, 09:53
That is an interesting statistic . . . "The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. What does finding the average of extremes really tell?
Would you want a call for fire to go like this? "Drop 1,000" "Fire for Effect":confused:
Yeah it is a bracket but. . .
If you read through the Rasmussen website, there is a logic to the way they do polls.
He is interviewing "likely voters". People with strong opinions are most likely to vote. People who merely approve or disapprove, or who are undecided, are less likely. He does report the total approve vs. disapprove as well. The other pollsters usually survey "Americans", which allows them to include people who have not voted and likely will not vote.
He also differs from the others when determining the representative make-up of the parties. The other major polls take the respondents and adjust for national declared party identification, usually inflating the Dims' numbers, due to greater Repub defections to Independent declared voters and neglecting the fact that a greater percentage of Repubs usually vote.
Read his entire article to get the full story.
TR
greenberetTFS
07-27-2009, 12:41
If you read through the Rasmussen website, there is a logic to the way they do polls.
He is interviewing "likely voters". People with strong opinions are most likely to vote. People who merely approve or disapprove, or who are undecided, are less likely. He does report the total approve vs. disapprove as well. The other pollsters usually report "Americans", which allows them to include people who have not voted and likely will not vote.
He also differs from the others when determining the representative make-up of the parties. The other major polls take the respondents and adjust for national declared party identification, usually inflating the Dims' numbers, due to greater Repub defections to Independent declared voters and neglecting the fact that a greater percentage of Repubs usually vote.
Read his entire article.
TR
I did TR,and regardless of what the polls say,I still think as a POTUS he's "honey coated dung"..............:mad:
Big Teddy :munchin
The Reaper
07-30-2009, 08:59
The slide continues.
I wonder if/when he will figure out that people may like him and not like his policies.
Terry, doesn't matter what we think, we were discussing the poll methodology and sampling.
TR
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Thursday, July 30, 2009
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 28% of the nation's voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12. That’s the lowest rating yet recorded for President Obama (see trends).
Forty-nine percent (49%) now say that America’s best days have come and gone. Just 38% believe they are still to come. Thirty-four percent (34%) say the country is heading in the right direction. Seventy-five percent (75%) want the Federal Reserve to be audited.
Scott’s Page, available to Premium Members, takes a look at shifting perceptions among white and black, conservative and liberal Democrats since the President’s press conference last week.
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates also available on Twitter.
Overall, 48% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. That is the lowest level of total approval yet recorded for this President. Fifty-one percent (51%) now disapprove. A plurality of voters now believe the President views American society as unfair and discriminatory.
It is important to remember that the Rasmussen Reports job approval ratings are based upon a sample of likely voters. Some other firms base their approval ratings on samples of all adults. President Obama's numbers are always several points higher in a poll of adults rather than likely voters. That's because some of the President's most enthusiastic supporters, such as young adults, are less likely to turn out to vote.
(more at link above)
I suspect people will vote in polls according to the condition of their rice bowl.
Right now, many believe that green shoots are sprouting and the first crocuses of an economic spring are growing. In addition, it appears - at least, when viewed through the lens of the mainstream media - that the risk of attacks on the U.S. are small and shrinking. (Note: but ONLY through the lens of the media, which distorts the facts badly).
If the green shoots die and crumble and the crocuses turn out to be poison ivy, much will change. If an attack (or, perhaps, multiple attacks from unassociated sources) occur, it will change. Break the rice bowl, and the POTUS will no longer have any honey on top.
Unfortunately, an unpopular and ineffective POTUS and legislative branch may foster instability, both internationally and domestically. I predict (but without any pleasure) that we will see such conditions by the 2012 elections.
I suspect people will vote in polls according to the condition of their rice bowl.
Here is a yahoo poll, Talk about voting your rice bowl :eek:
http://js.polls.yahoo.com/quiz/quiziframe.php?poll_id=46067
Obama and the economy Results
Q. The president's progress with the battered economy has been both praised and criticized.
How well are his efforts measuring up with you?
Extremely well. We are undoubtedly moving in the right direction. 16%
Fairly well. There's still a long way to go. 9%
Not well at all. His plans are hurting more than helping. 73%
Not sure/No opinion. 2%
739,605 votes
I tried to vote several times,, the poll captures your IP #,, one vote per..
incarcerated
09-02-2009, 01:03
http://www.boston.com/news/politics/2008/articles/2009/09/02/obama_approval_rating_tumbles_to_53_percent/
Obama’s approval rating tumbles to lowest point at 53%
September 2, 2009
President Obama’s job approval rating is at the lowest point of his presidency - a drop largely caused by erosion in support among the political independents who gave him an electoral landslide, a new poll suggests.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey results released yesterday show his overall approval number at 53 percent, down from 76 percent in early February, just after he took office.
The increasingly bitter partisanship appears to be taking a toll on the president.
While his approval number among fellow Democrats rose slightly to 90 percent from July, it fell to 43 percent from 53 percent among independents and to 15 percent from 23 percent among Republicans. It is the first time in a CNN poll that independents gave a thumbs down to Obama’s performance as president.
Majorities now disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy, health care policy, taxes, the federal deficit, and Medicare. He still gets majority support for his handling of foreign affairs, race relations, terrorism, and Afghanistan.
The White House announced late yesterday that Obama, just back from a week on Martha’s Vineyard (though interrupted for Senator Edward M. Kennedy’s funeral), will leave for Camp David this morning for more rest and not return until Sunday....
incarcerated
01-26-2010, 00:24
http://content.usatoday.com/communities/theoval/post/2010/01/obama-most-polarizing-presiden-in-history/1
Obama: Most polarizing president in history?
Jan 25, 2010
The Gallup Poll people delivered an interesting report today: President Obama was the most polarizing first-year president in history.
The average difference in Obama's approval ratings between Democrats and Republicans turned out to be 65 percent -- the highest first-year gap of any president so measured.
Of course, it takes two to tango, and, as Gallup's Jeffrey Jones put it, "the extraordinary level of polarization in Obama's first year in office is a combination of declining support from Republicans coupled with high and sustained approval from Democrats."
Obama's 88 % approval rating from Demcrats is the second highest level of party support for a first-year president, trailing only the 92 % Republican support for George W. Bush in 2001.
On the other hand, Obama's 23 % rating among Republicans is tied for lowest party rating of a rookie president, matching GOP "backing" of Bill Clinton back in 1993.
There's also the question of whether Obama is a polarizing president -- or is only the latest president in a polarized era.
"Prior to Ronald Reagan, no president averaged more than a 40-point gap in approval ratings by party during his term," said the Gallup report. "Since then, only the elder George Bush has averaged less than a 50-point gap."
White House spokesman Robert Gibbs also cited recent history.
"I think we live in a divided country," Gibbs said. "Washington has been a polarizing place for quite some time."
[The forty fourth president of the United States]: Most polarizing president in history?
How about Franklin Pierce? Or Richard Nixon?The Gallup Poll people delivered an interesting report today: [The forty fourth president of the United States] was the most polarizing first-year president in history.Not Lincoln?
From Gallup.com. Source is here (http://www.gallup.com/poll/125345/Obama-Approval-Polarized-First-Year-President.aspx?version=print).Obama's Approval Most Polarized for First-Year PresidentThe article itself makes two points clear that the USA Today piece does not.
The interval under discussion is after World War II, and not the whole of American history.
The metrics under discussion are drawn from polling data. While these data provide important pieces of the picture, they do not give the entire portrait.Then again, why bother checking facts and asking basic questions if you have a deadline to meet and a headline that is going to get people to click the hyperlink?
I saw this bit on Fox News this morning, http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/01/25/obama-good-termer-mediocre-term-president/
Here's the entire story from ABC, http://abcnews.go.com/WN/Politics/president-obama-good-term-president/story?id=9657337
"I'd rather be a really good one-term president than a mediocre two-term president," Obama told ABC News Monday. "You know, there is a tendency in Washington to believe our job description, of elected officials, is to get re-elected. That's not our job description. Our job description is to solve problems and help people."
I'm not sure why feels the need to take pot shots at GWB all the time but I know I am sure tired of the excuses...
Quit making excuses and just DO THE WORK for Christ sake!
FWIW, I cannot stand Diane Sawyer(aka - Uber Liberal), she could be struck dead right this second and I wouldn't lose a second of sleep over it...
rubberneck
01-26-2010, 12:37
A really good one term president is an oxymoron.