View Full Version : Mexico's Criminal Insurgency.
The antihero
11-11-2008, 13:27
John P. Sullivan and Adam Elkus
November 6, 2008
Special to Defense and the National Interest
Grenades are thrown at popular gatherings. Mutilated corpses flood the morgues. Heavily armed gunmen blast police to shreds with high-powered automatic weapons. Just another day in Iraq or Afghanistan? No-all of the events described occur regularly in Mexico. Our southern neighbor is imploding under the weight of a criminal insurgency just as dangerous any crew of bomb-tossing jihadists–an insurgency that may soon envelop our borders.
Link (http://www.d-n-i.net/dni/2008/11/06/mexicos-criminal-insurgency/)
Good article.
I think it will get worse in about 2 years - and perhaps less.
Good article.
I think it will get worse in about 2 years - and perhaps less.
What happens in 2 years?
What happens in 2 years?
A higher body count!!!!!!! As each month goes by the numbers of casualties goes up.
What happens in 2 years?
Budget problems on a big scale.
PEMEX accounts for 36% of Mexico's annual budget. Cantarell, which is Mexico's big oil field, is in rapid decline.
Mexico did hedge their oil for a couple years, at prices ranging from $70 - $100 per barrel, and that may cushion the blow. But as their oil resources decline, they get less revenue. And, at some point, they become importers.
I've attached an old chart from 2004-2005. Notice the tan production curve. 2.8 million barrels a day in production was expected in 2022 - but that's where we are today. The decline in far more rapid than expected, and that is likely to have an impact on the Mexican economy, hence on the stability of Mexican society.
I was a missionary in Mexico a few years ago (2002-2004) in the cities of Matamoros, Reynosa, Nuevo Laredo and Monterrey, and let me tell you, I have plenty of stories about the drug cartels, corrupt police forces, military checkpoints, and lots of stuff that happened in front of me that left me in awe.
Under former President Fox, I believe he started the AFI (Agencia Federal de Investigacion) which was to help stop the narco traficantes. I believe they delivered a big hit to the drug cartels and still do, but some of the agents are becoming corrupt.
Its a shame that there is no real control over the amount of violence that is happening in Mexico thanks to drugs, and that violence is bleeding on our side of the border as well.
On a side note, I believe it is illegal in Mexico to own a firearm. How come the anti-gun people never mention Mexico?
I am pretty sure its illegal to own hand grenades as well....
...lets throw open the borders and bring them over for some re-education!
...lets throw open the borders and bring them over for some re-education!
ahem.. the majority of them are already here....